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Forums - Sony - Possible PS3 million seller games (already released)

So far, PS3 has 45 million sellers.

Possible million sellers are,

MK vs DC 0.97m

Weekly sales - 674 + 1884 (Holiday boost possible)

Tomb Raider Underworld 0.95m

Weekly sales - 3588 (Holiday boost possible)

SOCOM PS3 0.92m

Weekly sales - 6059 (Holiday boost possible)

Rockband 0.90m

(Missing EU numbers may be updated)

Weekly sales - 1696

Army of two 0.87m

Weekly - 1843 (Holiday boost + Boost due to sequel early next year is possible)

Singstar 0.87m

Weekly -  1629 (Holiday boost possible

Prince of Persia 0.86m

Weekly - 1773 (holiday boost + Sequel + new movie in 2010)

Saints Row 2 0.81m

Weekly - 6248 (Holiday boost possible)

Motorstorm Pacific rift 0.80m

weekly - 4023 (holiday boost possible)

Haze 0.79m

ROFL !

weekly - 2395 (holiday boost ? ROFL)

Fight Night Round 4 0.79m

weekly - 11k Holiday boost possible. Fairly recent release

Hot Shots Golf PS3 - 0.75

weekly - 2379 (EU numbers may be updated, similiar sales as in america = million seller)

Rock band 2 - 0.75m

weekly - 20k (boost + Holiday EU numbers may be updated)

Dead Space 0.73m

weekly - 10k sequel next year + holiday boost

Battlefield Bad Company 0.73m

weekly 10k sequel next year + holiday boost

ACII - 0.69m

pretty much guarenteed. first week 690k

Prototype 0.67m

weekly - 8k holiday boost possible

Tekken 6 - 0.65m

650k in 4 weeks = million seller confirmed

Valkyria Chronicle 0.61m

weekly - 26k holiday boost possible

Hey who knows ?

Demon's Souls - 0.42m

Recent american release, good legs, no EU release yet + holiday boost

Weekly - 23k

 

White Knight Chronicles 0.36m

Strong JP sales. NA + EU sales when released might take it to 1 million

R&C Acit - 0.30m

Recent release. Selling better than R&C TOD. Franchise known to have long legs + Holiday upcoming

weekly 62k

 

Borderlands 0.25m

Recent release. Selling 30k week + holiday boost

 

Brutal Legend 0.24m

Recent release selling 20k week + holiday boost

Dragon Age 0.23m

Recent release. Last week sales = 75k

Bayonetta 0.19m

May be possible with Wetern release.

Eyepet 0.17m

No NA release yet. Eu release has shown 30-35k consistent sales 5 weeks straight. + holiday boost

DJ Hero 0.18m

might be possible with consistent holiday sales. recent release. 32k weekly

God of War Collection 0.12m

First week 120k. No EU release yet.Strong holiday performance possible. Critically acclaimed classics.bundled @ Black Friday.

I will make a million people buy it.



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hmm i don't see a lot of those going too far



Atto Suggests...:

Book - Malazan Book of the Fallen series 

Game - Metro Last Light

TV - Deadwood

Music - Forest Swords 

Attoyou said:
hmm i don't see a lot of those going too far

Which ones ?



Mortal Kombat vs DC Universe- possible as it only needs to sell another 25,000 to technically round up to a million. However, only selling 670 per week, Midway is completely bankrupt and gone and sold the property so no more new copies being shipped to maintain stock, and doubtful if it'll get too many large pushes in holiday season. But I'd still say it is quite likely so potentially by early 2010 it'll be at a million.

Tomb Raider Underworld- shouldn't have too much of a problem making it during the holiday season

SOCOM Confrontation- should make it during the holiday season

Rock Band- might make it America alone but doubtful. However, with EU sales it should definitely already be over

Army of Two- doesn't look like this one will make it unless bundled or special deal when the 2nd one comes out.

Singstar- mainstream title and will sell better during the holiday season so it has a chance but will take awhile after holiday season.

Prince of Persia- probably not much of a chance with current sales and situation

Saint's Row 2- holidays will put it in good position but doubtful it'll continue on too much further after that unless new marketing for Greatest Hits, etc.

Motorstorm: Pacific Rift- holidays should put it in good position but doubtful it'll sell too much in 2010. Possible though.

Haze- not much of a chance at all and not a title likely to get huge boosts during the holidays.

Fight Night Round 4- despite being really disappointing sales for the franchise considering FNR3, it should get decent holiday boots and still have a fairly decent chance to obtain it in 2010. Should be able to hit it.

Hot Shots Golf- really no chance at all

Rock Band 2- will easily make it

Dead Space- although new low price of $20 is helping, it's hard to imagine too large of holiday boosts unless world of mouth is still helping. Has a shot but it's a long shot.

Battlefield: Bad Company- no chance really unless hype for 2nd one helps this one

Assassin's Creed II- absolutely guaranteed

Prototype- doubtful unless lower price with new incentive (Greatest Hits) and bad world of mouth isn't helping

Tekken 6- easily will get a million in sales

Valkyria Chronicles- highly unlikely and I doubt some of our recent sales tracking is all that correct bar bundles I don't know about. But it probably won't make it unless some extreme word of mouth is spreading across the user base.

Demon's Soul- could surprise depending on word of mouth among gamers but will not gain mainstream appeal for obvious reasons.

White Knight Chronicles- I can't really gear how well this will do outside of Japan but has a chance but JRPGs that aren't FF or KH have had issues as of late in the west.

Ratchet and Clank: ACIT- should have no issue whatsoever

Borderlands- took off better on 360 and maybe more brand associated with 360. It's unlikely but still int he probable range but depends on holiday sales.

Brutal Legend- almost no chance. Seems to be quite the commercial flop across both platforms.

Dragon Age: Origins- same as Borderlands as it is probably doing more on PC and 360. Still has a good chance though but not as easy as it will be on the other platforms.

Bayonetta- I think this will do quite well in the west but not sure if it'll be enough to crack a million.

Eyepet- possible but not likely unless it gets a large marketing campaign

DJ Hero- will probably do better on the other platforms but property itself has not really taken off

God of War Collection- huge sales due to BF bundles and should really ramp up as GoW hype increases. Early to really say but I think it'll be able to do it.



It is simply incorrect to put Rock Band in a list of sub million sellers for PS3:

1. The game released in Others in September '08. Therefore there has been sales of the game in Others since that time.

2. 360 version has 2 million in Americas, 340K in Others vs. PS3 900K in Americas. 360 Americas vs others sales ratio is 6:1, install base ratio is ~ 1.5:1. Americans like Rock Band more than people in Others by ~4:1. PS3 install base ratio between Americas and others is ~1:1.2 assuming a similar 4:1 popularity difference Others sales of RB on PS3 should be about 225K. Even at a 6:1 popularity difference RB in Others would be at about 150K.

Conclusion: RB sales on PS3 are over 1 million. The fact that VGC has no RB Others sales data doesn't make it a sub million seller. Therefore it is perfectly reasonable to say that PS3 has 46 million sellers as of right now. People should accept this as a reality, and include it in any discussion of how many million sellers are out there under the "Rock Band anomaly".

Are there any similar anomalies that should be treated similarly?

For the rest: I think the other games that are in the 900s should make it to 1 million comfortably by the time their sales stop getting tracked. Other than Rock Band 2 and Games that have only been released within the last few months I don't see any other titles cracking 1 million.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

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binary solo said:
It is simply incorrect to put Rock Band in a list of sub million sellers for PS3:

1. The game released in Others in September '08. Therefore there has been sales of the game in Others since that time.

2. 360 version has 2 million in Americas, 340K in Others vs. PS3 900K in Americas. 360 Americas vs others sales ratio is 6:1, install base ratio is ~ 1.5:1. Americans like Rock Band more than people in Others by ~4:1. PS3 install base ratio between Americas and others is ~1:1.2 assuming a similar 4:1 popularity difference Others sales of RB on PS3 should be about 225K. Even at a 6:1 popularity difference RB in Others would be at about 150K.

Conclusion: RB sales on PS3 are over 1 million. The fact that VGC has no RB Others sales data doesn't make it a sub million seller. Therefore it is perfectly reasonable to say that PS3 has 46 million sellers as of right now. People should accept this as a reality, and include it in any discussion of how many million sellers are out there under the "Rock Band anomaly".

Are there any similar anomalies that should be treated similarly?

For the rest: I think the other games that are in the 900s should make it to 1 million comfortably by the time their sales stop getting tracked. Other than Rock Band 2 and Games that have only been released within the last few months I don't see any other titles cracking 1 million.

Thats why I said if EU numbers are updated, it could be a million seller on this site.

ILOVE GOD OF WAR said:
binary solo said:
It is simply incorrect to put Rock Band in a list of sub million sellers for PS3:

1. The game released in Others in September '08. Therefore there has been sales of the game in Others since that time.

2. 360 version has 2 million in Americas, 340K in Others vs. PS3 900K in Americas. 360 Americas vs others sales ratio is 6:1, install base ratio is ~ 1.5:1. Americans like Rock Band more than people in Others by ~4:1. PS3 install base ratio between Americas and others is ~1:1.2 assuming a similar 4:1 popularity difference Others sales of RB on PS3 should be about 225K. Even at a 6:1 popularity difference RB in Others would be at about 150K.

Conclusion: RB sales on PS3 are over 1 million. The fact that VGC has no RB Others sales data doesn't make it a sub million seller. Therefore it is perfectly reasonable to say that PS3 has 46 million sellers as of right now. People should accept this as a reality, and include it in any discussion of how many million sellers are out there under the "Rock Band anomaly".

Are there any similar anomalies that should be treated similarly?

For the rest: I think the other games that are in the 900s should make it to 1 million comfortably by the time their sales stop getting tracked. Other than Rock Band 2 and Games that have only been released within the last few months I don't see any other titles cracking 1 million.

Thats why I said if EU numbers are updated, it could be a million seller on this site.

When this site is missing data of significant proportions then you simply can't go by this site's numbers alone. You've got to apply some sort of estimate to come up with approximate total. Someone better at probability than me could do a better mathematical job, but I think the probability that RB on PS3 IS a million seller in reality is 0.99. We can't guess at the actual sales, but we can state with reasonable certainty that the true sales are over 1 million.

I'm all in favour of assuming reasonable accuracy in VGC numbers when there is a complete data set for the sales you are looking at. But when there is a large data gap for the sales you are considering you can't just go with the numbers on this site.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

Uhh. The list started off good, but you dug way too low. Maybe 75% of those will probably not hit 1 million.



God Of War 3 might sell a million xD



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gustave154 said:
God Of War 3 might sell a million xD

This is for games that have already released in at least one territory.