This year Q1 saw incredible sales for the Wii.

For starter it was sold out in December in the US so a lot of restocking had to be done ( at the end of Q1 most US retailers had full stocks).

For second in Q1 2009 Wii sales were still at the same pace as the whole 2008 year. Sales only started to slow down at the start of Q2 2009.

Over 5 million Wii sold in Q1 2009...

The beginning of next year will be better than this one... the holiday will most likely be worse.

It's hard to say, but given that the holiday is more important I'd say it will sell a bit less next year, making 2009 the peak year.

I think Wii and 360 peaked in 2008. I think MS was hoping for a bigger year in 2009 than they are going to get, with 360 just sneaking into the red in the final run to the end of the year. I doubt Natal at the end of 2010 will make such a massive difference that it will overcome 360's reduced sales through the first 3 quarters of 2010. At least not without a price cut at the same time. If Natal releases in a bundle with the same price as the units are now sales might increase a bit, but not amazingly so.

The Wii price cut was surprisingly more effective than I thought, though so far it hasn't brought its sales up to 2008 levels. BF week and NSMB Wii Japan week might see a change in fortunes. 2010 can easily be better than 2009 for Wii. But with a resurgent PS3 I don't see Wii performing as well as it did in 2008.

Unless there is another price cut in the offing, in 2010 PS3 is likely to be like 360 was in 2009: building a strong lead through much of 2010, only to see it wiped out some time after it runs up against 2009's Slim release week. Wand won't do much for PS3 sales, but I do hope there is good bundling, decent uptake by the current install base, all supported by good software. Having said that if GT5, GoW III and FFXIII (Western release) all give decent and reasonably sustained HW boosts in their favoured markets then the lead PS3 builds up might just overcome the late 2009 surge.

The SLIM?LOL

Of course...everyone is buying a PS3 now because the console is lighter!How could i be so dumb and think that the price has done the major sales effect...

Nope.
Peak year will be at 199$ price.

And that will happen in 2011. Everyone must play MGS4, Uncharted 2, GT5 and probably some other games too.

Either 2010 or 2011 will be the peak year for the PS3. It has yet to reach the $199 price point in the US, but this needs to happen before the momentum of the PS3 runs out (ie before new consoles appear on the horizon etc).

I reckon 2010 will be a better year for the PS3, and if Microsoft can hold off from releasing the new xbox console until at least 2012, then 2011 will more than likely be better again as the PS3 will most likely be down to the $199 price point.

This is definitely PS3's peak year. The slim is the true explanation of its' recent surge in sales. And 2010 only has GT5 as a system seller.


And in 2010 next-gen will be be announced, lol. I bet the ten year plan will actually be 6.

TEH SLIM...

Looks like im the only one who thinks the price cut wis the reason of its recent surge in sales

The slim should also boost sales in the short term, due to hardcore PS3 fans buying the slim and selling or giving away their used consoles.

How much of the boost is due to that no one knows. But I believe it's substantial, since new colors usually also boost sales for a while even when they're not accompanied by a price cut.

This goes for the Wii as well, btw.

Either 2009 or 2010 will be the peak sales year for the PS3 reaching around 12 million sales in both of those years. 2010 will be the PS3's peak year in regards to new game releases are concerned with: Gran turismo 5, God of War 3, FFXIII, FFXIII Versus, M.A.G. and Heavy Rain. 2010 = first full year at $299 for PS3.

Late 2011 will most likely see the launch of the first 8th generation console which would slow down sales of the PS3. Consumers would demand a new console around Xmas 2011. Every next generation has started around 5 or 6 years after the previous generation started. The new XBox will launch late 2011 in NA and Japan and early 2012 in European region. Late 2012 PS4 will be launched, 6 years after the PS3 launched.