It never ceases to amaze me how none of us seem to learn from the past, myself included. But sometimes, we have to allow ourselves to let go of wishful thinking and learn that the past, often does repeat itself. I won't make any predictions on how well Natal is or isn't received, but I am confident in predicting support for it will be slow and rather weak after its launch.
People always get excited over articles that state all these developers can't wait to get their hands on a new technology, or that they have been working on it for months and LOVE IT and this gets people in such a state of bliss. I know I felt that way about the Wii remote. This was the gen everyone wrote Nintendo off. They were dead. And the remote saved them, no denying it. But let's face it. Support for this thing was weak at first. And even to this day, developers take the easy way out with it. Few have really tapped into what is possible with it, and it's been Nintendo that had to lead the charge.
It's my guess, this will be a repeat of what we'll see on Natal. With most first gen games for this thing being little better than the on stage demo of that woman playing kickball. So as the subject line said, this will not be a game changer. Not this gen.
But Natal will live on into the next gen, I'm certain. And will come with every console. Then we'll see what Natal can really do. I imagine there will be little real software support for it this gen. Either it bombs, and no one will really throw any AAA title's its way. Or it does very well, but lack of install base will again keep major games off it. Instead, developers will wait until the next gen to release serious games for it. Knowing every XBox Next owner will have Natal in their homes. Barring any idiotic move on MS' part, like one SKU with Natal and one without.
So to everyone hoping MS will beat Wii every week after Natal's launch, or even surpass it overall ... don't hold your breath. This gen has been decided. Instead see what Natal (And even Sony's wand) for what it really is. An answer to Nintendo, and the groundwork being laid for motion control for the upcoming gen.










