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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Why New Super Mario Bros. Wii WILL NOT sell 11 million in less than a year.

Demotruk said:
Joelcool7 said:

I totally agree, only a blind fanboy would be dissilusioned enough to believe that NSMBW will outsell SuperMarioGalaxy in a single year. I mean sure I expect NSMBW to sell probubly about 10-11 million in its lifetime sales but I highly doubt it will out perform every home mario game since the SNES. I mean come on lifetime sales of SuperMario64 were only 11 mill.

Honestly some fanboys believing that NSMBW will outsell Galaxy, Sunshine , Mario64. Yes I know Super Mario World reached lifetime sales of over 20-million. Yes I know that NewSuperMarioBros:DS is nearing the 20-million mark too. However I highly doubt that NSMBW will sell more then NewSuperMarioBros:DS did in its first year.

It's just not going to happen. I am so sure of it that I was willing to bet my sig and avatar for 3-months. It won't happen!


Damn, I wish I had seen this post when you made it...

 

I guess you're not still willing to take this bet?

I actually thought his post was a joke post, truly. I mean it was so far removed from reality but with such stern conviction that you'd think he was trying too hard to make you believe that he believed what he was actually saying.



Tag - "No trolling on my watch!"

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Only right that this thread gets bumped!

Where are angrypoolman's posts? He got permed? I thought he just had a regular ban. I could've sworn I saw one of his posts the other day.



Kenology said:
Only right that this thread gets bumped!

Where are angrypoolman's posts? He got permed? I thought he just had a regular ban. I could've sworn I saw one of his posts the other day.

Nope. Naznatips IP banned him for continually dodging bans.



Yea not much in there haha. Just an argument over the definition of "AAA status" which Kluutru is right and everyone else is wrong. Why people quote metacritic and reviews as the meaning of AAA is beyond me. It's a term companies use to denote large properties they think are going to bring in massive sales. Generally that also means they will put a lot of money into the project which usually makes them have a high budget but not necessarily a part of the definition. Reviews will not maintain the status but sales can determine if it actually should have been AAA status.

As for people going to eat crow, well I'm sure there is a lot haha. I remember outlaw telling me how crazy it was for Mario to sell 11 million within a year and well probably shouldn't bring that back up to him haha. I'm sure there are alot of other people who didn't see it as likely... I know I really didn't at first. But after the first week sales it didn't take long to see that 11 million was going to be no problem.



I disagree you with you. It has already sold close to 7million in just 5 weeks. It only needs to sell 4million in 10 1/2 months. That's a easy accomplisment for a 2d mario game on the wii. It will continue to be in the top 10 if not top 5 wii games for the rest of 2010.

Just because you love the ps3 and hate the wii doesn't make your thread true.

It sounds to me your just jealous that your ps3 dosesn't have any games that can compete with something like a 2d mario game.

And this has nothing to do with me not like thing ps3 either, even though I don't have one and only a wii. I have always like the playstation brand. Except the ps1, N64 killed that system with all it's orginal games.



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I think it could be possible. 2D Mario has a huge fan base and anything is possible. It's at 6.68 million already and that's in only 5 weeks.



Joelcool7 said:
Millennium said:
I'd really like to think that NSMBWii would sell that well, but the more I think about it, the more I'm not sure it can. The problem is with marketing.

To tap into the blue ocean, there's really only one thing you have to do: show people having fun. It's how the Wii _____ series does so well, and how even Wii Music broke 2.5 million in such a hostile market. It's how MK:Wii, the only game outside the Wii _____ series this gen to break 15 million sales, did it. But NSMB:Wii can't do this. Why not? Simple: it has no motion. No matter how you dress it up, you just plain cannot make button-mashing look fun. And if it doesn't look fun, the blue ocean won't bite.

I also think the blue ocean aren't gamers they are people who want something practical something they already have interest in doing. Things like WiiFit and WiiMusic sold because non-gamers are interested in those things. MarioKart is a racer, its not to complicated like Forza or GranTurismo and its simple enough for a non-gamer to pick up and play.

NewSuperMarioBros lacks the day to day interest of a non-gamer. It also isn't as straight forward as MarioKart. It will appeal to the hardcore demographic and alittle to the casual. But non-gamers who are the main market for Wii won't likely pick it up. That being said it could over its lifespan reach 20-million like NewSuperMarioBros has on the DS. But I doubt very much that it will reach 11-million in its launch year.

The people who pick up NewSuperMarioBros will be the hardcore and a couple old school gamers who remember the Mario of yesteryear. The Blue Ocean non gamer market will be reluctant to pick up NewSuperMarioBros!


The blue ocean includes millions of lapsed gamers with families. They will and are buying the game.

I wonder why some people forget that. I think it probably the age of the posters as mentioned earlier.

Crowfest!!



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Demotruk said:
Joelcool7 said:

I totally agree, only a blind fanboy would be dissilusioned enough to believe that NSMBW will outsell SuperMarioGalaxy in a single year. I mean sure I expect NSMBW to sell probubly about 10-11 million in its lifetime sales but I highly doubt it will out perform every home mario game since the SNES. I mean come on lifetime sales of SuperMario64 were only 11 mill.

Honestly some fanboys believing that NSMBW will outsell Galaxy, Sunshine , Mario64. Yes I know Super Mario World reached lifetime sales of over 20-million. Yes I know that NewSuperMarioBros:DS is nearing the 20-million mark too. However I highly doubt that NSMBW will sell more then NewSuperMarioBros:DS did in its first year.

It's just not going to happen. I am so sure of it that I was willing to bet my sig and avatar for 3-months. It won't happen!


Damn, I wish I had seen this post when you made it...

 

I guess you're not still willing to take this bet?

I made the bet with Joelcool7 at the time.

His av/sig belong to me.



Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

It's definitely going to sell past 7.5 million by the end of the year!



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I hope it doesn't, I'll lose my bet and Wii_Master will change my avi and all who I befriended for courage will hate me and I'll lose friends...