Sidious said:
Loud_Hot_White_Box said:
And none of those listed games will likely sell 15 mil, no. On the other hand when PS3 motion controls hit, PS3 will already have a LARGE userbase and it is just now starting to pick up its strongest momentum yet. The question is, will motion controls contribute to the PS3 being able to remain viable longer than the other consoles.
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How long do you think the Wii will be on the market? Two more years? Three? Four? The PS3 might only be on the market another year or two after the Wii's successor comes out. That is assuming that unlike all previous generations the first place console stops being manufactured and sold before its competition.
Now for the years that the Wii will remain on the market why would the vast blue ocean that Nintendo targeted and is still targeting choose the PS3 over the Wii considering the $100 price difference and Nintendo's very successful Wii branded games?
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Wii was down in year on year sales so far this year, and only its price cut will change that. Sony and MS may well try to cut into the casual 'blue ocean' market. It is only possible once their consoles are relatively cheap.
Wii's cheapness relative to PS3 and 360 was a precondition to its dominance. That relative cheapness isn't as great nowadays. Wii's sales when it gets a successor will be lower than the PS2's sales when its successor, PS3, hit the market. Yeah, Wii will keep getting manufactured, but PS3 will keep trucking as the main attraction for longer than the Wii does, and motion control may well be a part of that staying power (and blu-ray, well-developed online, PSEye functionality, etc).
