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Forums - Sales - Gran Turismo 5 to sell over 15 Million LTD or only over 10?

jbrist on 27 September 2009
Carl2291 said:
What a great first post.

Lol thanks, I always try to make a good first impression... hope I've helped people to realise that Gran Turismo 5 WILL be a successful game, and has a really high chance of selling over 10m, maybe even more than Halo 3 in Lifetime sales, although I'd guess 15m max... as said, anything over 15m will be amazing.

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sabby_e17 on 27 September 2009

Over 10... easily.




NKAJ on 27 September 2009

less than 10 million ltd



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Seece on 27 September 2009
kowenicki said:
under 10... easily.

This



 

Seece on 27 September 2009
CGI-Quality said:

Lulz......some of you will be pleasantly surprised when it launches. Even if it crawls to 8-9mill Lifetime without bundles, it WILL be bundled and do at least 10mill. To understand what it's bound to do, you have to understand the selling power this game has.

This

 

 



 

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jbrist on 27 September 2009

Yes, I have to agree with CGI-Quality, but I mean, if you guys had read my two posts, you'll see how it has the the ability, and WILL sell over 10m lifetime, although I've put a limit on 15m, since I'm playing it safe, but anything over 15m will be great for Sony and Polyphony Digital.

If anyone would like a bet with me, I'm betting it WILL sell over 10m, if you disagree, let's do it.



Seece on 27 September 2009

Yeah its all very well asking people to see this can do over 10 mill, all the while you lot ignore the fact it could do 6 million.

and don't shake your head with your eyes closed screaming "NOA IT WON'T!" ....



 

Seece on 27 September 2009
CGI-Quality said:
Seece said:

Yeah its all very well asking people to see this can do over 10 mill, all the while you lot ignore the fact it could do 6 million.

and don't shake your head with your eyes closed screaming "NOA IT WON'T!" ....

Well, anything is possible, no matter how unlikely it seems

It's more likely to end LTD with 6 mill than 15 mill ...



 

donsterydo2 on 27 September 2009

2 yeras after release around 6 mln



Seece on 27 September 2009
ioi said:
8-10m is a reasonable range but it does depend on how heavily bundled the game is.

I'm not sure whether it is really worth trying to get into this too much but what many of you are failing to neglect when comparing to previous games is the difference in userbase and time into the console lifespan of release.

I'd suggest that it is very unlikely that GT5 will beat Halo 3 and using Halo 1/2 and GT3/4 to argue against that is pretty heavily flawed since PS2 hardware sold more than 5 times as much as Xbox - things don't scale directly with userbase but it does have a significant effect. For the same reason that Halo 3 has sold around 30% more than Halo 2 (360 userbase 30% larger than Xbox) then I expect GT5 to sell significantly below GT4.

Exactly, and before anyone quotes the rise of MGS4 over MGS3, think about it for a second, there was room in sales for MGS4 to grow. The same can't be applied to GT.