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ioi said:
8-10m is a reasonable range but it does depend on how heavily bundled the game is.

I'm not sure whether it is really worth trying to get into this too much but what many of you are failing to neglect when comparing to previous games is the difference in userbase and time into the console lifespan of release.

I'd suggest that it is very unlikely that GT5 will beat Halo 3 and using Halo 1/2 and GT3/4 to argue against that is pretty heavily flawed since PS2 hardware sold more than 5 times as much as Xbox - things don't scale directly with userbase but it does have a significant effect. For the same reason that Halo 3 has sold around 30% more than Halo 2 (360 userbase 30% larger than Xbox) then I expect GT5 to sell significantly below GT4.

Exactly, and before anyone quotes the rise of MGS4 over MGS3, think about it for a second, there was room in sales for MGS4 to grow. The same can't be applied to GT.