GOW1 sold 50k, GOW2 sold 35k and the PSP game sold 40k. I'd say 100k for GOW3 is rather far from likely. AT3 has a chance, but since Rorona didn't I have my doubts, plus AR1-2 didn't even manage it iirc. Troy Musou is developed by Koei Canada, so I think that may sink it. Baldestorm only did 118k and that was .

LP2 and DR2 aren't sure bets either imo, though both are more likely than not. I think LP2 could really surprise actually and crack 200k. I agree with the rest, but Zelda's more likely a 2010 title than anything imo, at least that's the impression Nintendo's given. I also think Metroid could crack 100k again now that's it's being developed at home and isn't a fps.

If we look at a benchmark of say 500k past Q1, then Wii still got 2-4 games (Galaxy 2, Zelda, DQX, Wii Vitality) to PS3's 1-2 (Versus, MGSR).

Well, since you're basing your expectations of the said PS3 titles mainly on guesswork, i could quite easily say No more heroes, Zangeki, Tatsunoku, dance dance revolution and Super monkey ball on the Wii all have a chance at 100k too. Can't really see any HW movers amongst those you have mentioned on the PS3 side.

None will get close to 100k. 50k would be too much for those games.

Tatsunoko may, but I'd say closer to 50k than 100k.

TatsuCap 1 sold ~50k according to Famitsu, but Capcom reps on their forums said it sold (shipped?) 100k in Japan.

And according to Media Create:
Wii: 191,915

ioi's prediction (made Oct 21) for wii sales this week was...

190k

Percentage error against Media Create: 1.00% under.

So more congratulations.

Looks like Wii is set to get there first. Next 2 weeks will tell, but i cant see the PS3 rising from this week's numbers. Wii on the other hand is sure to reach 200k+

Weekly update time:  FFXIII edition.

Please check newbie's thread for week-to-week tracking of the ioi vs. ZorroX projection contest:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=88468&page=1

1) Last week's numbers were adjusted up slightly for Wii and down slightly for PS3.

2) Wii is about 50k higher than its best week last holiday season.  Everything to say about PS3 has been said already.

3) It looks like some adjustments have been made to earlier in the year as the PS3's original head start of about 60k has been reduced to 56k.

Wow this will be close! I hope for the same week, would be fun.

^^
YESSSS!

Next week i'm guessing Wii at around 250k and PS3 at 150-170k. so a virtual tie probably