GOW1 sold 50k, GOW2 sold 35k and the PSP game sold 40k. I'd say 100k for GOW3 is rather far from likely. AT3 has a chance, but since Rorona didn't I have my doubts, plus AR1-2 didn't even manage it iirc. Troy Musou is developed by Koei Canada, so I think that may sink it. Baldestorm only did 118k and that was .
LP2 and DR2 aren't sure bets either imo, though both are more likely than not. I think LP2 could really surprise actually and crack 200k. I agree with the rest, but Zelda's more likely a 2010 title than anything imo, at least that's the impression Nintendo's given. I also think Metroid could crack 100k again now that's it's being developed at home and isn't a fps.
If we look at a benchmark of say 500k past Q1, then Wii still got 2-4 games (Galaxy 2, Zelda, DQX, Wii Vitality) to PS3's 1-2 (Versus, MGSR).
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