Famitsu Estimates (September 2009)

Bruno Muñoz

Currently Offline

9,927

812 posts since 07/08/07

Recent Badges:

12 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 12 years.
7 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 7 years.
Site Veteran Has been a VGChartz member for over 5 years.
It's a Start Bank a Total of 2,000 VG$.
14 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 14 years.
Hit And Run 15 comments posted on VGChartz news articles.

Bruno Muñoz on 19 September 2009

Famitsu Estimates (September 2009)
Title - First Shipment/Total Forecast (Related Title - First Week/Total Sales)

[PS3] Final Fantasy 13 (Square Enix) FS 800K-960K / TF 1.00M-1.50M (FF12 - FW 1.840M / LTD 2.323M)
[WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo) FS 310K-440K / TF 1.80M+ (Wii Fit - FW 254K / LTD 3.525M)
[NDS] Inazuma Eleven 2 (Level 5) FS 220K-310K / TF 170K-240K (Inazuma - FW 41K / LTD 386K)
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2 (Sega) FS 190K-240K / TF 210K-400K (PSP - FW 329K / LTD 637K)
[NDS] Layton Kyouju to Majin no Fue (Level 5) FS 180K-250K / TF 510K-660K (Layton Jikan - FW 361K / LTD 806K)
[PSP] Gran Turismo (SCE) FS 160K-220K / TF 250K-320K (GT5P - FW 108K / LTD 239K)
[NDS] Hikari no 4 Senshi: Final Fantasy Gaiden (Square Enix) FS 150K-210K / TF 150K-210K (FF4 - FW 309K / LTD 622K)
[PS3] Tekken 6 (Bandai Namco) FS 120K-170K / TF 150K-180K (Tekken 5 - FW 217K / LTD 317K)
[NDS] Mario & Sonic at Vancouver Olympics (Nintendo) FS 110K-130K / TF 150K-260K (Mario & Sonic 1 - FW 91K / LTD 384K)
[PS3] Bayonetta (Sega) FS 110K-130K / TF 120K-160K
[PSP] Persona 3 Portable (Atlus) FS 90K-120K / TF 110K-160K (Persona PSP - FW 95K / LTD 135K)
[WII] Sengoku Musou 3 (Koei) FS 80K-120K / TF 120K-170K (Sengoku Musou 2 - FW 301K / LTD 552K)
[PSP] J-League Pro Soccer Club wo Tsukurou! 6 (Sega) FS 80K-110K / TF 140K-190K (Sakatsuku PS2 - FW 108K / LTD 175k)
[NDS] Shin Megami Tensei: Strange Journey (Atlus) FS 80K-110K / TF 90K-120K (Devil Survivor - FW 57K / LTD 107K)
[PSP] Dissidia: Final Fantasy - Universal Tuning (Square Enix) FS 70K-100K / TF 110K-150K (Dissidia - FW 504K / LTD 898K)

http://dubai.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/ghard/1253244862/466

DavidValbu

Currently Offline

10,525

792 posts since 03/01/08

Recent Badges:

Open For Business Earned 10 badges.
Freezing Logged in on Christmas day.
Escape Artist Managed to avoid being banned for 1 month.
Ride Into the Sunset Managed to avoid being banned for 3 months.
A Free Man Managed to avoid being banned for 2 years.
A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.

DavidValbu on 19 September 2009

Where is New Super Mario Bros Wii?

Khuutra

Currently Offline

95,070

20980 posts since 31/05/08

Recent Badges:

4 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 4 years.
So Close, Yet So Far Was a finalist in an annual Greatest User Tournament.
Vice Free Managed to avoid being banned for 6 months.
15 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 15 years.
A Badge Within A Badge Earned 20 badges.
Star of the Show Won an annual Greatest User Tournament.

Currently Playing:

Vagrant Story (PS)

Khuutra on 19 September 2009

So they're predicting 1.5 million lifetime in Japan for FFXIII, or what? Or is that just by the end of the year?

Kasz216

Currently Offline

117,816

34826 posts since 29/07/07

Recent Badges:

Seriously... Bank a Total of 10,000 VG$
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
2 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 2 years.
I'm Special VGChartz staff member.
4 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 4 years.
So You Came Back For More, Huh? Logged in a second time.

Kasz216 on 19 September 2009

Khuutra said:

So they're predicting 1.5 million lifetime in Japan for FFXIII, or what? Or is that just by the end of the year?

I think they're predicting 1.5 million TOTAL. For... hopefully just until March.

Which my god that would be horrible.

For a comparison FFX did nearly 2 million first week... with what had to be a similar userbase.

Using past trends 1 million first week would actually track to 1.5 million liftime.

Khuutra

Currently Offline

95,070

20980 posts since 31/05/08

Recent Badges:

A Civilized Man Managed to avoid being banned for 5 years.
The High Flyer Earned 40 badges.
2 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 2 years.
Quite a Collection of Parts Add a total of 250 games to your collection.
Man or Robot? Managed to avoid being banned for 10 years.
Genocide 5,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.

Currently Playing:

Vagrant Story (PS)

Khuutra on 19 September 2009

Well it's like a 30% attach rate if they get that high, even if PS3 sales explode and stay exploded for a while. Not...that... unreasonable.

Kasz216

Currently Offline

117,816

34826 posts since 29/07/07

Recent Badges:

3 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 3 years.
14 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 14 years.
'Ello Princess! Awarded for signing up.
First Rung Of The Ladder Earned 10,000 gamrPoints
2 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 2 years.
One Small 'Splosion Author of 100 forum threads.

Kasz216 on 19 September 2009

Khuutra said:
Well it's like a 30% attach rate if they get that high, even if PS3 sales explode and stay exploded for a while. Not...that... unreasonable.

What i mean is... FFX did a lot better... and when 10 released it had to be a similar userbase... i'd think.

If FFXIII only does 1.5 million total in japan i gotta think SE would be disapointed.

Looking at FFX... 1.5 looks like the lifetime number.

Khuutra

Currently Offline

95,070

20980 posts since 31/05/08

Recent Badges:

Good Listener Received 1,000 wall post comments on gamrConnect.
Mirror Image Awarded for uploading an avatar.
8 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 8 years.
So Close, Yet So Far Was a finalist in an annual Greatest User Tournament.
Star of the Show Won an annual Greatest User Tournament.
First Rung Of The Ladder Earned 10,000 gamrPoints

Currently Playing:

Vagrant Story (PS)

Khuutra on 19 September 2009

Kasz216 said:

Khuutra said:
Well it's like a 30% attach rate if they get that high, even if PS3 sales explode and stay exploded for a while. Not...that... unreasonable.

What i mean is... FFX did a lot better... and when 10 released it had to be a similar userbase... i'd think.

If FFX only does 1.5 million in japan i gotta think SE would be disapointed.

How do you think they would react if DQIX ended up outselling FFXIII worldwide?

tedsteriscool

Banned

7,765

4715 posts since 15/06/08

Recent Badges:

Making Friends 10 friends on gamrConnect.
One Piece at a Time Add your first game to your collection.
Open For Business Earned 10 badges.
Trust Me, It'll Have Legs 100 replies made to user's most popular thread.
Littlest Genocide 1,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
Pon Received 100 wall post comments on gamrConnect.

tedsteriscool on 19 September 2009

Too low on FF XIII.

Kasz216

Currently Offline

117,816

34826 posts since 29/07/07

Recent Badges:

Leaving Limbo 100 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
10 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 10 years.
Brotherhood 100 friends on gamrConnect.
Cleanse The Wilderness 250 comments posted on VGChartz news articles.
The High Flyer Earned 40 badges.
Some Here, Some There Bank a Total of 5,000 VG$.

Kasz216 on 19 September 2009

Khuutra said:

Kasz216 said:

Khuutra said:
Well it's like a 30% attach rate if they get that high, even if PS3 sales explode and stay exploded for a while. Not...that... unreasonable.

What i mean is... FFX did a lot better... and when 10 released it had to be a similar userbase... i'd think.

If FFX only does 1.5 million in japan i gotta think SE would be disapointed.

How do you think they would react if DQIX ended up outselling FFXIII worldwide?

That really depends on if it's DQ does really well or FF13 does poorly.

I can't see the main FF series taking the handheld jump though.

Wow DQ 9 is already at 4 million. That had to be quite the profit maker.

Kasz216

Currently Offline

117,816

34826 posts since 29/07/07

Recent Badges:

Seriously... Bank a Total of 10,000 VG$
Some Here, Some There Bank a Total of 5,000 VG$.
God Of VGC 10,000 posts on the gamrConnect forums.
18 Years Has been a VGChartz member for over 18 years.
Social Butterfly 50 friends on gamrConnect.
50 in One Add a total of 50 games to your collection.

Kasz216 on 19 September 2009

Crazy how low they have Samurai Warriors 3 too... guess they aren't believers in the wiis ability to sell hardcore titles.

Either that or they just think SW: Katana poisoned the well.

Existing User Log In

New User Registration

Forums - Sales - Famitsu Estimates (September 2009)

Recent Badges:

Recent Badges:

Recent Badges:

Currently Playing:

Recent Badges:

Recent Badges:

Currently Playing:

Recent Badges:

Recent Badges:

Currently Playing:

Recent Badges:

Recent Badges:

Recent Badges: