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Forums - PC - GPUs Set to Increase Performance by 570 Times by 2015

Chief executive officer of Nvidia Corp. said during his keynote at Hot Chips conference that graphics processing units (GPUs) have excellent prospects for further performance growth. He also indicated that it makes no sense to integrate central processors and graphics chips since discrete processors have higher performance.

According to Mr. Huang, by 2015 graphics processing units will have computing power that is 570 times higher compared to performance of today’s GPUs. Meanwhile, central processing units (CPUs) will be only three times faster than today’s most powerful chips. Considering the  fact that modern graphics chips can offer about 1TFLOPs of computing power, then in 2015 they will offer whopping 570TFLOPs.

The prediction of Mr. Huang sharply contradicts with prediction of William Dally, chief scientist of Nvidia, who expects GPUs to have 20TFLOPs performance in 2015.

During question and answer section at the end of the speech, professor David Patterson of U.C. Berkeley asked if Mr. Huang had to do it over, would he still partition the CPU and GPU into separate chips. The answer Nvidia’s chief exec gave was that there were three constituents, the programmers, OEMs/ODMs, and chip designers, and each had differing requirements that make it difficult to bet on integrating new and very rapidly developing architectures into one device. By separating these functions, each can develop at its own pace and also provide the flexibility to address many market opportunities. Of course, Mr. Huang stressed that the GPU is evolving much faster than any other chip architecture.

The head of Nvidia also enthusiastically painted a picture of a world where the massive threading and computing capability of the GPU can provide many orders of magnitude performance increases over just the multi-core CPU alone.

http://www.xbitlabs.com/news/video/display/20090826114745_GPUs_Set_to_Increase_Performance_by_570_Times_by_2015_Chief_Executive_of_Nvidia.html



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Playable framerates in Crysis by 2015 confirmed?



I would certainly like to see how he got to that number, however the calculation is covered.

Seems very overstated to me...



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

NJ5 said:
I would certainly like to see how he got to that number, however the calculation is covered.

Seems very overstated to me...

Well, isn't there a theory stating something like "computing power doubles every 6 months"?

 

His projections wouldn't be too far off if this were true.



tedsteriscool said:
NJ5 said:
I would certainly like to see how he got to that number, however the calculation is covered.

Seems very overstated to me...

Well, isn't there a theory stating something like "computing power doubles every 6 months"?

 

His projections wouldn't be too far off if this were true.

No, more like every 18 months if you're talking about Moore's law.

2015 is in 6 years, or 4 times 18 months. So by that theory performance would be 16 times higher.

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

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NJ5 said:
I would certainly like to see how he got to that number, however the calculation is covered.

Seems very overstated to me...

If it's true, though, that has the potential to be really cool.



They either found the way to beat Moore's Law, or this is Ballacks...



Increased development costs by x570 confirmed !!!!



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

It does not make much sense.



 

 

 

 

 

tedsteriscool said:
Playable framerates in Crysis by 2015 confirmed?

This had me rolling!