2009 has become a year of few releases. There aren't many competitors for joining the top 10 left, so I'm wondering how the people of VGChartz see the rest of the year shaping.
The only upcomming title that I feel I can predict fairly is Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2. The original (on X360) sold 4M in its first year. MW2 launches at the same time, but it has yet to be confirmed that it will launch in Europe for 2009. So, I feel the realistic prediction is 4-5M for the X360 version, and 3-4M for the Ps3 version.
I made this list for what I believe will be the sales of the already released titles (but also including CoD:MW2)
1. Wii Sports
2. Wii Fit - 12-13M
3. Mario Kart Wii - 8-9M
3. Wii Play - 8-9M
5. Wii Sports Resort - 6-8M?
6. Pokemon Platinum - 5-7M
7. CoDX360 - 4-5M
7. MKDS - 4-5M
7. NSMB - 4-5M
10. EASports Active/CoDPs3/Dragon Quest - ~ 4M
I'm not going to post a lot of reasoning here, as long posts seem to frighten people, so just correct me if I'm mistaken in some way.
In retrospect, I would say that I may very well have overestimated CoDPs3, and that it is unlikely to manage to beat either DQ nor EAactive
So, what titles could have a shot at entering the top 10? Remember, this title has to sell over 4M by the end of the year.








