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Forums - Microsoft - Can the Xbox 360 sell > 13M consoles for 2009 and crack 40M before 2010?

goddog on 29 June 2009
Tony_Parker said:
I think the main things here are GT5 (which is the ultimate system seller according to history) and the console price.

The console price has been the main factor that limited sales until now. Before last september, PS3 was easily outselling 360 worldwide while already costing more than the 360, so price is definitely the main factor. That's why I think a 100$ price cut could be so huge.

On the other hand, any new MS price cut would be more limited in impact since the console is already very affordable right now...

But you're right, only time will tell, and I could be wrong.

see this thread for your prediction and the history of related ones http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=5338 



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Tony_Parker on 29 June 2009

Well, I think everybody agrees that had MS not cut the price in half last september, PS3 would still outsell the 360 every week like it did before september (even with the PS3 costing more)...

So predicting anything is really hard. Everything depends on price cuts now...



Wyku on 29 June 2009
goddog said:
Tony_Parker said:
I think the main things here are GT5 (which is the ultimate system seller according to history) and the console price.

The console price has been the main factor that limited sales until now. Before last september, PS3 was easily outselling 360 worldwide while already costing more than the 360, so price is definitely the main factor. That's why I think a 100$ price cut could be so huge.

On the other hand, any new MS price cut would be more limited in impact since the console is already very affordable right now...

But you're right, only time will tell, and I could be wrong.

see this thread for your prediction and the history of related ones http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=5338 


This thread is hilarious.  I love all the predictions of the PS3 slaughtering the 360 in '08 with the release of GT5 and FFXIII, like this gem:

"It will happen in 08, with the line up they have outsellign the 360 by 500k will be a walk in the park.  While 360 will sale less and less as PS3 takes potential buyer away form it.

Gran Turismo 5 will literally kill the 360 in europe. 
FF13 will significantly grow sales in Japan.
MGS4, Killzone2, GTA4, Resistance2, Socom4, GT5 and the US market is ni happy 360 place. "



Consoles Owned: Atari 2600, NES, Sega Genesis, Sega Saturn, N64, Gamecube, Wii, XBOX360

CaptDS9E on 29 June 2009

Yeah reading old threads if always a hoot



Twitter:CaptDS9E

Tony_Parker on 29 June 2009

Well, actually, GT5 could still kill the 360 since it's not released yet. I doubt it will, but if it's released with a PS3 price cut, it will certainly be painful for the 360 sales...

I think most people just thought the PS3 price cut would come sooner. It's all about price cut after all, since that's the only thing that put the 360 in first place in wolrdwide sales last september.



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haxxiy on 29 June 2009

It will be down until years end, remember the actual pricing started in September. Even now it can't outsell X360 2008 by a large margin, so I would not expect 11m+ numbers.



 

 

 

 

 

noslodecoy on 29 June 2009
Tony_Parker said:
I think the main things here are GT5 (which is the ultimate system seller according to history) and the console price.

The console price has been the main factor that limited sales until now. Before last september, PS3 was easily outselling 360 worldwide while already costing more than the 360, so price is definitely the main factor. That's why I think a 100$ price cut could be so huge.

On the other hand, any new MS price cut would be more limited in impact since the console is already very affordable right now...

But you're right, only time will tell, and I could be wrong.

GT4 certianly wasn't a system seller.  Console sales did not seem to be affected in any region by the release of GT4:

Of course, you were probably speaking of the other iterations.



indodude on 29 June 2009

I know this is off-topic, sorry, but Why is Splinter Cell: Conviction Microsoft exclusve?



emitcowboys on 29 June 2009

^^ because xbox was always very loyal to ubisoft when they first started making splinter cell games. The game is my personal most anticipated



Thank you Kowenicki

PS3 will need to outsell 360 by:         
             
444,931 per month to catch it by Jan 2011. 102,676 per week.
266,958 per month to catch it by Jan 2012. 61,606 per week.
190,685 per month to catch it by Jan 2013. 44,004 per week.
148,310 per month to catch it by Jan 2014. 34,225 per week.
           
Current rate is:  -18,262 per month    
Avge over last 6 mths          
Negative number means 360 is outselling PS3 by that amount per mth on avge
XxXProphecyXxX on 29 June 2009
emitcowboys said:
^^ because xbox was always very loyal to ubisoft when they first started making splinter cell games. The game is my personal most anticipated

Hu???........