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Forums - Nintendo - Analyst: Wii Price Cut Coming This Holiday Season

Unlikely due to their financial forecast.
On the other hand if they don't do one they will miss the 26 million units shipped target...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

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Screw a price cut. Where's a greatest hits collection?




360 Games Now Playing   360 Games unopened:  Resonance of Fate  Last 360 Game I Beat: Resident Evil 5

DS Games Now Playing: Dragon Quest VI  DS Games unopened Knights in the Nightmare, Etrian Odyssey III, Okamiden, Dragon Quest IX Last DS Game I beat: Radiant Historia

Wii Games Now Playing  Super Mario Galaxy 2, Arc Rise Fantasia  Wii  Games unopened  Little King's Story, Sonic Colors, Silent Hill Shattered Memories Last Wii Game I beat: Sin & Punishment 2

i dont think they will because they probably feel no need to. they might in early or mid 2010, but i doubt this holiday season.



                                                                                                  
Squilliam said:
The Wii is currently down YOY quite significantly and thats with 100% supply. Colours and bundles only go so far, because only a fraction of people want a black Wii more than a white Wii and only a fraction of people want the games bundled with a system. However there are quite a few people who are unwilling to buy a Wii at $249 who may very well reconsider a Wii at $199 especially because the recession has made people a lot more price concious. A 20% reduction in price should very easily net a 30% increase in sales, which should get the Wii back on track.

 

Software pushes consoles, and Wii software is coming, last year we already had big games out, like smash and Kart and Fit, this year nothing so far, Wii sports resort is coming, as is NSMB and Wii Fit plus, that'll give the Wii's engine the jumpstart it needs



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Soriku said:
@Squilliam

No, all they need is more games. NSMBW, Wii Fit Plus and Wii Sports Resort, coupled with a bunch of great third party games, both WM+ enabled and not are all they need. Anyone expecting a price cut this year is crazzzzy.

Thats not enough to lift sales by almost 50% to match the sales this time last year. The clock is ticking on that 26M projection.



Tease.

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nope. New black color and various new games will easily make it.

Japan is the biggest loss right now and I'm betting MH3Tri takes care of that.



Soriku said:
I think you're really underestimating the lineup, Squilly.

How much did Nintendo ship ao far?

Glad you ask.

2008 Jan - 1st week of June.

     Wii sold = ~7,889,378

2008 total sold = ~23,840,570

2009 Jan - 1st week of June.

     Wii sold = ~7,312,910

 

So, the Wii is only down by ~500,000 units as compared to last year. This is surprising since Japan has been so massively slow thus far. Now consider you have Monster Hunter 3 and a new Wii color coming to Japan soon, Wii Fit Plus, New Super Mario Bros, and a good amount of solid 3rd party efforts vs crappy wagglefied PS2 ports.

I'd say it is very much possible for Wii to *ship* >26m this year.



imo not likely, why should they? They are doing better then they every did



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

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@superchunk

Considering the line-up for the rest of the year I must say that after looking at those numbers the Wii situation ain't anywhere near bad. Unless WSR and the rest bombs...



superchunk said:
Soriku said:
I think you're really underestimating the lineup, Squilly.

How much did Nintendo ship ao far?

Glad you ask.

2008 Jan - 1st week of June.

     Wii sold = ~7,889,378

2008 total sold = ~23,840,570

2009 Jan - 1st week of June.

     Wii sold = ~7,312,910

 

So, the Wii is only down by ~500,000 units as compared to last year. This is surprising since Japan has been so massively slow thus far. Now consider you have Monster Hunter 3 and a new Wii color coming to Japan soon, Wii Fit Plus, New Super Mario Bros, and a good amount of solid 3rd party efforts vs crappy wagglefied PS2 ports.

I'd say it is very much possible for Wii to *ship* >26m this year.

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 05th Apr 2009 to 13th Jun 2009:

 

Console Wii
Total
2,286,063

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 06th Apr 2008 to 14th Jun 2008:

 

Console Wii
Total
4,173,040

Do you see a significant problem with them reaching their sales target?

@ Soriku: Mario games are most popular with Nintendo fans who likely already have the console, unless you think for some reason a 2nd Mario game will have a huge impact? and Wii Fit+ is essentially an expansion to the same title, its nothing new. The only think potentially new is Wii Sports resort, but we will have to wait n see on that one.  



Tease.