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Forums - Sales - Is the Wii bubble About to Burst?

jimmay on 24 September 2007
fkusumot said:
jimmay said:

Right lots of questions so i'll answer them all in one post. To clarify here are my predictions:

Prediciton 1 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december using gamerankings as the overall review score source both the 360 and the ps3 will have more games rated over 80% than the wii will.

Prediction 2 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december both the 360 and ps3 will have more games that go on to sell over 500,000 than the wii will worldwide. So for example a game could be released in october 2007 and it might take a year for it sell over 500,000 but that will still count as that game selling over 500,000. Also multiformat games are counted as individual formats, so if fifa 2008 sells over 500,000 EACH on the 360 and ps3 but less than 500,000 on the wii then fifa only counts for the 360 and ps3, not the wii.

The individual lists i gave of games selling over 500,000 for each console are only rough guesses to suppost my point and are not predictions.


Prediction 1 is not sales related. Prediction 2 is worthless.


Yet another brilliant post by you, thank you that was a great read.



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TWRoO on 24 September 2007

@punisher; thats not really valid because the ps2 was only out in Jp for the first 7 months, wheras Wii was in all. [and ps3 was only in Jp + America for 4 months] @jimmay. prediction1 i think could hold true, that is assuming gamerankings is similar to metacritic, where things like motorstorm import version are included as well as motorstorm. That and i personally wouldn't agree with that many Tom Clancy or sports sequels being in the top 20.... but thats beside the point, your prediction1 may very well hold true. prediction 2 i still cannot see happening, 360 will probably 80-90% chance] have more, but ps3 has a slim [20-30%] chance of more than Wii, partly due to its low number of releases between now and xmas [though that fact may help individual game sales increase between now and xmas it wont help when better games in 08 come out, so most games that dont sell 500k before xmas wont continue selling]



fkusumot on 24 September 2007
jimmay said:
fkusumot said:
jimmay said:

Right lots of questions so i'll answer them all in one post. To clarify here are my predictions:

Prediciton 1 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december using gamerankings as the overall review score source both the 360 and the ps3 will have more games rated over 80% than the wii will.

Prediction 2 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december both the 360 and ps3 will have more games that go on to sell over 500,000 than the wii will worldwide. So for example a game could be released in october 2007 and it might take a year for it sell over 500,000 but that will still count as that game selling over 500,000. Also multiformat games are counted as individual formats, so if fifa 2008 sells over 500,000 EACH on the 360 and ps3 but less than 500,000 on the wii then fifa only counts for the 360 and ps3, not the wii.

The individual lists i gave of games selling over 500,000 for each console are only rough guesses to suppost my point and are not predictions.


Prediction 1 is not sales related. Prediction 2 is worthless.


Yet another brillant post by you, thank you that was a great read.


Nice. What does brillant mean?



I Blame Wii Fit!

jimmay on 24 September 2007
fkusumot said:
jimmay said:
fkusumot said:
jimmay said:

Right lots of questions so i'll answer them all in one post. To clarify here are my predictions:

Prediciton 1 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december using gamerankings as the overall review score source both the 360 and the ps3 will have more games rated over 80% than the wii will.

Prediction 2 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december both the 360 and ps3 will have more games that go on to sell over 500,000 than the wii will worldwide. So for example a game could be released in october 2007 and it might take a year for it sell over 500,000 but that will still count as that game selling over 500,000. Also multiformat games are counted as individual formats, so if fifa 2008 sells over 500,000 EACH on the 360 and ps3 but less than 500,000 on the wii then fifa only counts for the 360 and ps3, not the wii.

The individual lists i gave of games selling over 500,000 for each console are only rough guesses to suppost my point and are not predictions.


Prediction 1 is not sales related. Prediction 2 is worthless.


Yet another brillant post by you, thank you that was a great read.


Nice. What does brillant mean?


It means add the missing letter and stop making pointless posts.



stof on 24 September 2007

Settle down boys. There's no need for fight'n round these parts.



I'm a mod, come to me if there's mod'n to do. 

Chrizum is the best thing to happen to the internet, Period.

Serves me right for challenging his sales predictions!

Bet with dsisister44: Red Steel 2 will sell 1 million within it's first 365 days of sales.

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fkusumot on 24 September 2007
jimmay said:
fkusumot said:
jimmay said:
fkusumot said:
jimmay said:

Right lots of questions so i'll answer them all in one post. To clarify here are my predictions:

Prediciton 1 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december using gamerankings as the overall review score source both the 360 and the ps3 will have more games rated over 80% than the wii will.

Prediction 2 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december both the 360 and ps3 will have more games that go on to sell over 500,000 than the wii will worldwide. So for example a game could be released in october 2007 and it might take a year for it sell over 500,000 but that will still count as that game selling over 500,000. Also multiformat games are counted as individual formats, so if fifa 2008 sells over 500,000 EACH on the 360 and ps3 but less than 500,000 on the wii then fifa only counts for the 360 and ps3, not the wii.

The individual lists i gave of games selling over 500,000 for each console are only rough guesses to suppost my point and are not predictions.


Prediction 1 is not sales related. Prediction 2 is worthless.


Yet another brillant post by you, thank you that was a great read.


Nice. What does brillant mean?


It means add the missing letter and stop making pointless posts.


I thought you might speak French.



I Blame Wii Fit!

SilentWolf on 24 September 2007
jimmay said:

Right lots of questions so i'll answer them all in one post. To clarify here are my predictions:

Prediciton 1 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december using gamerankings as the overall review score source both the 360 and the ps3 will have more games rated over 80% than the wii will.

Prediction 2 - of all the games released between the 1st of september till the 31st of december both the 360 and ps3 will have more games that go on to sell over 500,000 than the wii will worldwide. So for example a game could be released in october 2007 and it might take a year for it sell over 500,000 but that will still count as that game selling over 500,000. Also multiformat games are counted as individual formats, so if fifa 2008 sells over 500,000 EACH on the 360 and ps3 but less than 500,000 on the wii then fifa only counts for the 360 and ps3, not the wii.

The individual lists i gave of games selling over 500,000 for each console are only rough guesses to suppost my point and are not predictions.

Right, so Jimmay is this your final, official prediction?

 



DonWii on 24 September 2007

No



dtewi on 24 September 2007

^ Too late. I already made that joke in this thread. You phail.



Kimi wa ne tashika ni ano toki watashi no soba ni ita

Itsudatte itsudatte itsudatte

Sugu yoko de waratteita

Nakushitemo torimodosu kimi wo

I will never leave you

Chadius on 24 September 2007

At this point, the entire thread is /phail.



There is no such thing as a console war. This is the first step to game design.