Yeah as Twestern said this should be taken with a huge grain of salt... For example the same company DFC Intelligence had this to say in 2005:

"Its "best case scenario" figures for all three consoles show the PlayStation 3 taking 50 per cent market share at best, while Microsoft's Xbox 360 stands to take a maximum of 40 per cent share, and the Nintendo Revolution can hope for no more than 35 per cent."

source: http://www.gamesindustry.biz/content_page.php?aid=9622

 Your logic is irrefutable... /sarcasm

I thought 2008 was supposed to be the beginning of PS3's domination?  You guys need to start a domination prediction pool. 

Also note they are talking Software REVENUE and not software profit.

Considering your average PS3 game sells for 10 dollars more then your average wii game that means the Wii would need to sell 7 games for every 6 games the PS3 sells and that the "hardcore" base is are the ones most likely to buy a lot of software this really isn't that bold of a claim. The larger install base helps but when it's mostly casuals added on, it doesn't help that much, part of the reason there are higher attach rates on systems that sell worse.

The Wii likely will still win out on Software profit as if reports can be believed it costs about half to make a good quality wii game and even less to make a cash in wii game. To match in profitability in the software racket the PS3 would probably have to sell double the wii in software or more.

The PS3 has absolutely zero chance of catching up to anything next year. The 360 is currently almost 6 million units in the lead, and outselling the PS3 on a weekly basis. I see absolutely no reason for the PS3 to do better than the 360 during the holidays, in which case it would have to outsell its competitor next year by at least 500k every month next year in order to take second place. Currently the PS3 isn't even selling 500k per month, and 360 sales are picking up the pace, so it's becoming pretty clear what's going to happen.

How things go after 2008 is anybody's guess, but I see the PS3 falling even futher behind due to the big franchises jumping ship after their currently WIP incarnations are out.

The Wii is so far ahead it's barely worth mentioning here.

This is basically what I've been saying all along. The PS3 has the brand power and, more importantly, the game variety to make it in all territories. The 360 is really only popular in the US. Once the big name ps3 games start to hit in 2008, sales will pick up immensely, and by 2009 it will be selling like mad.

So first analysts say the PS3 will dominate at launch in 06, then they said it will catch up in 07 when the games arrived, then they said it would be 08 that Sony dominated, now it will be 09, I guess if you keep pushing the date further and further back it maintains the illusion that anything is possible.

This has been my view for a while. PS3 price becomes reasonable and it has the big games coming both 3rd and 1st party so it overtakes the 360 worldwide, in the US it's harder.

I could be wrong, but I believe that it was DFC who made the claim in late 2005 that the PSP would have 66% of the handheld marketshare by the end of 2006 ...

I guess the credibility of analysts only matters to Sony supporters when its something they don't want to hear.

An analyst is no more credible than you or I. However, I won't feign from agreeing with an analyst just because he is an analyst. I'll agree or disagree with an analyst just like I would a fellow poster on this board.