Well the PS2 was only at 30 million after 2 and a half years. I dont know how relevant it is to this thread, but thought I would point it out.

Anyway on topic.....I dont think GT5 will pass Halo 3. Why? Too much competition.

Something no one has mentioned (or I havent seen) is how closely tied the Halo and XBox brand are. Mario is joined at the hip with Nintendo. If you buy a Ninty machine, you are almost predestined to buy a Mario game. Most people know that Halo is an XBox game. So they buy a 360, they buy Halo. Or their friends have it, so they get it. GT, while a VERY popular game everywhere, is not the face of the Playstation brand. The average gamer, or the gamer who doesnt follow the industry like we do, does not associate GT with the Playstation brand. If you ask a PS3 owner what is the best game on the system, they wont all say GT5. Even after its release, you'll still hear a lot of other shit. Some will say MGS4, or Uncharted (or the sequel), or God Of War 3.....Most XBox fans will say Halo, or possibly Gears. Ninty owners mostly say Mario or Zelda.

My point is, there is no consensus when it comes to Sony machines usually. That will hurt GT5's chances of catching Halo 3, cause Halo 3 will sell until the lights go low on the 360. My opinion may suck, thats just my 2 cents.

maybe, but who really knows. mario kart wii was an unexpected juggernaut and too human tanked. it could happen though

I don't think FFXIII will do 12 million on both consoles.  That being said, I will be closer with that guess than you will.

GOW III will be lucky to get 4-5 million.

GT5 will do 7million if its bundled.

 Remember last year when the sony fanboys kept saying ps3 sales aren't bad....they are tracking the same as the ps2.......LMAO.

I guess that excuse is no longer viable.  Sony needs gt5 and ffviii NOW!!!!!!!!!

Now who's delusional?

How much did Halo 3 sell last week? 29,527 copies. It is currently at 9.44 million.

So, to sell another 3 million copies and reach your prediction, it would have to sell at that rate for over two years. I don't see that happening. Even better, to sell 15 million, Halo 3 would need to sell at the rate I mentioned for nearly four years.

Even taking holiday boosts into consideration, I don't see that happening.

And you claim 7-9 million for GT5, which is pretty much what I think (8-9 million), so I have no problem there. But people saying Forza 3 will outsell GT5...yeah, when Quantum Theory outsells Gears of War 2.

except you're forgetting about christmas? where one week it sold 100k, and you're forgetting about ODST, and its latest price drop, and the Elite bundle. and the fact Halo 2 was still selling 15k a week in 2007.

No I think you'll find my prediction is spot on you just don't agree with it.

WOW this thread has become a dung flinging contest.

We have "GT5 won't even sell Forza 3 numbers" and "I'm retarded since I think higher install base = higher sales" AND "GT5 will be lucky to reach 6 million while Halo 3 will do 12-15 million."

I can only hope we have some terrible comedians whom have replied in this thread, if not then all I can say is that I am disturbed. All people need to do is look at Prologue sales to know GT5 will breeze past 8 million.

**As of December 2008 3.31 million copies which I assume include PSN downloads of Prologue have been sold according to the PD website.

Isn't that what happens in every thread here at vgchartz? :p

No, just any thread which attracts fanboys of two consoles at once, this one is PS3 / 360.

that kind of logic doesnt work because cgi already disproved it. mgs4 sold as much as mgs3 despite the user base difference. so why wouldnt gta5 sell as much as gta4? it might not sell as much but logically...cgi's argument makes more sense. and to richard's argument...yea 1/2 of ps3 owners would have to buy it because we all know no more ps3's are going to be sold.