Wait wait...hold on...I am not as convinced that Brawl and SMG can't beat Halo 3 week 1 numbers. Now I won't say its very likely but considering Halo 3 launching pre Holidays and SMG & Brawl launch during the holidays its not impossible. Just unlikely.
Edit: Just to elaborate a bit, the big advantage that Halo is working against is the lackluster Japan install base. Its far from insurmountable but it is still a pretty sizeable chunk of units SMG/Brawl will sell there that essentially add to their total. With this "extra market" it isn't a complete impossibility...I kind of wonder what the odds would be if you were to place a bet in Vegas. I'm sure a bunch of people will say 100:1 or 1000:1 but if you really wanna go that far with it I might have to take you up for $5 lol.
Just for the record I am assuming by Week 1 sales we are talking about adding up the first week sales of each region and calling that the Week 1 sales for each game. If you go by just the first it is out overall Halo 3 will win hands down since it launches WW in a 3-day span where as SMG & Brawl have quite a bit more spread to the releases.
How we decide to look at it ultimately doesn't matter though, all 3 games will sell fantastically and the people purchasing the games are pretty much guaranteed to be getting their moneys worth.