Pikmin hasn't been popular with the masses yet, but Nintendo have learnt alot in the last couple of years. I'm not sure if it'll outsell all those big games the OP mentioned, but I do think it will double the sales of the original Pikmin, give or take. The series is very popular in Japan, and with the right marketing it could reach a wide audience. I'd never have expected Animal Crossing to be the success it was on the DS, or for Mario Kart Wii to outsell Halo 3 and GTAIV. People still won't accept the industry is different now... With that in mind, I think Pikmin will be successful.Will it outsell some of Sony and Microsoft's biggest titles? Only time will tell. But I would never rule it out categorically. If any company can make a game about tiny plant people and an astronaut (in the form of an RTS) a mass market hit, then it will be Nintendo that does it.