Ok I know the chances of this happening are very slim, but I think it is possible. Here is a example scenario:
Microsoft seeing a chance to kill the PS3 throws ridiculous amounts of money at HD-DVD. All the big studios come over and HD-DVD becomes the new standard. This prompts a sharp decline in PS3 sales and a big uptake in 360 sales. Developers declare they will wait to see if the PS3 survives before continuing development on PS3 games, except for those that are almost done. This is a critical blow and consumers stop buying for fear of no or few new games ever coming out for it. With this blow to the Playstation brand the PSP sales start to rapidly decline and with its already poor attach rate development for it gradually ceases. It is dies out slowly within 6 months.
Anyway, let me say it again. I know that the chances of Blu-ray, the PS3 and the PSP dying are very slim, but as it is possible, I think it is interesting to speculate.
Would Sony survive? Would they release a PS4 and a PSP2?
I think yes and yes.
Sony have their fingers in a lot of pies. The gaming pie may be a big one, but I am pretty sure they have always been making profits despite the large losses the gaming division has been experiencing (I tried to find a graph of Sony profits but couldn't). I think it would take a number of divisions of Sony exeriencing similiar cataclysmic failures for the beast to be slain. I think their other divisions are on much stabler ground than the gaming one so I can't see them dying quickly like this.
I would still see them releasing a PS4. They are a company with a lot of confidence and I think such a failure would brand into their minds what needs to be done for the PS4. With the confidence of this learning experience and the vast potential money to be made in the gaming industry, I can't see this as enough to scare them off. PSP2 I think is less likely given how fearsome the competition has become, but I still seeing them having a go of it. I wonder if the PSP has made a profit overall for Sony.
As an aside I would hate to see them go. I think the make a number of good products and the gaming industry particularly needs them for the competition they create.









