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Forums - Gaming - With 6 to 7 million PS3's sold in Japan to 1 Million for the 360,

mrstickball said:
Wiped, do you realize the X360:PS3 marketshare gap has decreased this year, and not increased?

What big games does the PS3 have that aren't going to drag it down into the 10k/wk category over the summer?

I'm not arguing that the 360 will move some fantastic number of units, but I don't see it moving so little as to allow the PS3 to achieve a 6:1 or 7:1 ratio.

So far, this year, the PS3 has sold 2.5:1 systems in Japan. In the same timespan in 2008 (Jan-Mar), the PS3 had a 6.6:1 gap.

So that gap has shrunk by 3 times in the last year...Not increased. I don't get the crazy logic that the PS3 is going to sell 6-7 million units even after the big hitters come out. It'll get a fantastic boost, but I don't see it selling as well as the PS3 fanboys want to argue.

The PS3 has a bunch of smaller, niche games that'll keep it afloat.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

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Onyxmeth said:
Jo21 said:
Onyxmeth said:
Jo21 said:
Onyxmeth said:

Am I the only one here that is wondering why this thread exists in some fantasy alternative universe where the fight for Japanese support is only being fought between the PS3 and 360?

I'd like to propose this question, lightly lifted from the OP and adjusted to fit my view on things.

"Why would Japanese developers choose to continue to heavily support the 360 and the PS3 with new exclusives in Japan?"

The PS3 is running millions of consoles behind the Wii in Japan. The entire continent is dominated by two handhelds. All three of those players are significantly cheaper to develop for than the PS3 and 360 are. So why do either of the HD consoles get any Japanese support at all?

Final Fantasy 13 and Versus going to sell tons there :P.

 

 

I wish I knew what that has to do with my quoted post. Care to explain?

@BTFeather: I agree on my question being interesting, and what's most interesting is that unlike the topic as a whole, it's rooted in reality. What your topic is doing is just painting the PS3 as some huge success and market leader when the comparison point is the only platform performing worse. You fail to realize the PS3 is in fourth place, and is closer to the 360's sales than it is to the Wii's.

 

 

the snow ball effect possible. third party likely follow since their demographic would be on the ps3.

Ahhh...the snowball effect. Let's say FF XIII comes out this Christmas. It is seen as an immediate success. Third parties use this info to start developing for PS3. 18-24 months later, games start coming out. The snowball effect will have given Christmas 2011 and onwards a lot of nice PS3 third party titles. I'm pretty sure though that would be nearing the end of the generation. At this point, the snowball effect is rather worthless if it has to start as late as Christmas 2009.

 

 

      It's funny how there is all this talk about how this gen is going to be the longest one since Atari 2600 days with no new consoles coming out til at least 2012, and then someone says "oh, the PS3 is going to have a snowball effect late this year" and all of a sudden everybody rushes on to say, "Oh, it's much too late in the gen for the PS3 to experience a snow ball effect."

     I don't think Valkyrie Chronicles took 18 to 24 months to develop (as far as programming time goes). 



Heavens to Murgatoids.

BTFeather55 said:
Onyxmeth said:
Jo21 said:
Onyxmeth said:
Jo21 said:
Onyxmeth said:

Am I the only one here that is wondering why this thread exists in some fantasy alternative universe where the fight for Japanese support is only being fought between the PS3 and 360?

I'd like to propose this question, lightly lifted from the OP and adjusted to fit my view on things.

"Why would Japanese developers choose to continue to heavily support the 360 and the PS3 with new exclusives in Japan?"

The PS3 is running millions of consoles behind the Wii in Japan. The entire continent is dominated by two handhelds. All three of those players are significantly cheaper to develop for than the PS3 and 360 are. So why do either of the HD consoles get any Japanese support at all?

Final Fantasy 13 and Versus going to sell tons there :P.

 

 

I wish I knew what that has to do with my quoted post. Care to explain?

@BTFeather: I agree on my question being interesting, and what's most interesting is that unlike the topic as a whole, it's rooted in reality. What your topic is doing is just painting the PS3 as some huge success and market leader when the comparison point is the only platform performing worse. You fail to realize the PS3 is in fourth place, and is closer to the 360's sales than it is to the Wii's.

 

 

the snow ball effect possible. third party likely follow since their demographic would be on the ps3.

Ahhh...the snowball effect. Let's say FF XIII comes out this Christmas. It is seen as an immediate success. Third parties use this info to start developing for PS3. 18-24 months later, games start coming out. The snowball effect will have given Christmas 2011 and onwards a lot of nice PS3 third party titles. I'm pretty sure though that would be nearing the end of the generation. At this point, the snowball effect is rather worthless if it has to start as late as Christmas 2009.

 

 

      It's funny how there is all this talk about how this gen is going to be the longest one since Atari 2600 days with no new consoles coming out til at least 2012, and then someone says "oh, the PS3 is going to have a snowball effect late this year" and all of a sudden everybody rushes on to say, "Oh, it's much too late in the gen for the PS3 to experience a snow ball effect."

     I don't think Valkyrie Chronicles took 18 to 24 months to develop (as far as programming time goes). 

Everybody didn't rush out to say anything. I said that. I alone said that to jo21. Go back up and read how no one but myself responded to that. Got any other half baked attempts at an argument hot shot? You're currently failing at least three threads all involving the same topic matter.

Give me links that prove Valkyria Chronicles took less than 18 months to make. It is a high profile, well developed, gorgeousely rendered title that looks like a lot of love and attention went into it. Normally titles along those lines have a development cycle at least 18 months long. It takes Tiburon 12 months to update a roster and make minor enhancements to Madden. It doesn't seem likely VC took less than 18 months to create.

 



Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.



Onyxmeth said:
BTFeather55 said:
Onyxmeth said:
Jo21 said:
Onyxmeth said:
Jo21 said:
Onyxmeth said:

Am I the only one here that is wondering why this thread exists in some fantasy alternative universe where the fight for Japanese support is only being fought between the PS3 and 360?

I'd like to propose this question, lightly lifted from the OP and adjusted to fit my view on things.

"Why would Japanese developers choose to continue to heavily support the 360 and the PS3 with new exclusives in Japan?"

The PS3 is running millions of consoles behind the Wii in Japan. The entire continent is dominated by two handhelds. All three of those players are significantly cheaper to develop for than the PS3 and 360 are. So why do either of the HD consoles get any Japanese support at all?

Final Fantasy 13 and Versus going to sell tons there :P.

 

 

I wish I knew what that has to do with my quoted post. Care to explain?

@BTFeather: I agree on my question being interesting, and what's most interesting is that unlike the topic as a whole, it's rooted in reality. What your topic is doing is just painting the PS3 as some huge success and market leader when the comparison point is the only platform performing worse. You fail to realize the PS3 is in fourth place, and is closer to the 360's sales than it is to the Wii's.

 

 

the snow ball effect possible. third party likely follow since their demographic would be on the ps3.

Ahhh...the snowball effect. Let's say FF XIII comes out this Christmas. It is seen as an immediate success. Third parties use this info to start developing for PS3. 18-24 months later, games start coming out. The snowball effect will have given Christmas 2011 and onwards a lot of nice PS3 third party titles. I'm pretty sure though that would be nearing the end of the generation. At this point, the snowball effect is rather worthless if it has to start as late as Christmas 2009.

 

 

      It's funny how there is all this talk about how this gen is going to be the longest one since Atari 2600 days with no new consoles coming out til at least 2012, and then someone says "oh, the PS3 is going to have a snowball effect late this year" and all of a sudden everybody rushes on to say, "Oh, it's much too late in the gen for the PS3 to experience a snow ball effect."

     I don't think Valkyrie Chronicles took 18 to 24 months to develop (as far as programming time goes). 

Everybody didn't rush out to say anything. I said that. I alone said that to jo21. Go back up and read how no one but myself responded to that. Got any other half baked attempts at an argument hot shot? You're currently failing at least three threads all involving the same topic matter.

Give me links that prove Valkyria Chronicles took less than 18 months to make. It is a high profile, well developed, gorgeousely rendered title that looks like a lot of love and attention went into it. Normally titles along those lines have a development cycle at least 18 months long. It takes Tiburon 12 months to update a roster and make minor enhancements to Madden. It doesn't seem likely VC took less than 18 months to create.

 

It looks like it took 3 years to develop because it started development on 360 then was shifted to PS3.

http://www.kotaku.com.au/games/2008/04/valkyrie_chronicles_developed_for_xbox_360_then_switched_to_ps3-2.html

And, actually, I'm not losing at anything.  I guess I might be losing in the court of public opinion because there seem to be a lot of people saying its impossible for any game to improve PS3 sales in any region.  However, until the game(s) has(ve) been released and its (their) effect is known there's no way for either side to win the argument.

 



Heavens to Murgatoids.

BTFeather55 said:
Onyxmeth said:

Everybody didn't rush out to say anything. I said that. I alone said that to jo21. Go back up and read how no one but myself responded to that. Got any other half baked attempts at an argument hot shot? You're currently failing at least three threads all involving the same topic matter.

Give me links that prove Valkyria Chronicles took less than 18 months to make. It is a high profile, well developed, gorgeousely rendered title that looks like a lot of love and attention went into it. Normally titles along those lines have a development cycle at least 18 months long. It takes Tiburon 12 months to update a roster and make minor enhancements to Madden. It doesn't seem likely VC took less than 18 months to create.

 

It looks like it took 3 years to develop because it started development on 360 then was shifted to PS3.

http://www.kotaku.com.au/games/2008/04/valkyrie_chronicles_developed_for_xbox_360_then_switched_to_ps3-2.html

And, actually, I'm not losing at anything.  I guess I might be losing in the court of public opinion because there seem to be a lot of people saying its impossible for any game to improve PS3 sales in any region.  However, until the game(s) has(ve) been released and its (their) effect is known there's no way for either side to win the argument.

 

Hmmm...so it would seem that even taking out the months put into 360 development, which would be entirely salvageable to it's eventual PS3 release, you were entirely wrong in your earlier statements saying VC took less than 18 months to make. You have made many bold statements such as this all throughout this thread that have been proven wrong. You just have this amazing ability to continuously talk out of your ass and create statements that can be proven wrong time and time again, and you also present many of your baseless assumptions as facts, when they are anything but.

No one disagrees that the three aformentioned games for PS3 are going to create sales spikes and improve it's general situation in Japan. They are merely pointing out that the 360 has always been in a losing battle with the PS3, but that hasn't stopped it from getting "strong japanese support"( I use this term loosely, as I don't see the support as being strong at all), so why would it now?

I also presented the point that the PS3 only looks like a gem in direct comparison to the only platform performing worse than it, but you are looking at it entirely from the perspective of a PS3 owner concerned with where the PS3 fits. If you were to look at this from the perspective of Japan as a whole, you would wonder why the Wii, which has more sales than both the PS3 and 360 combined, isn't gobbling up all the Japanese support and leaving both consoles in the dust.

You might want to check out those weekly sales charts and realize that on most weeks, the 360 is the ONLY platform the PS3 can beat. There are three platforms performing significantly better than the PS3 is. Nope, I'm sorry. There's four. The PS2 is selling more software than the PS3 is in Japan too. To measure the success and viability of the PS3 in Japan against the worst selling console is insane. You should be worrying about it's viability in comparison to those ahead of it, because it's those platforms that will be taking away the support. The battle of the PS3 and 360 is negligent, because no matter the sales of either in Japan, most third parties are better off making their games multiplatform anyways.

 



Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.



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IMHO i dont think these games will move as much hardware as you guys think. Sure the software sales will be good but the most die hard fans already bought a ps3 for gt5 prologue and just becasue they wanted one.

I think they will be a lot like Killzone and Gears 2. Sell tons of software but only modestly increase hardware sales.



Long Live SHIO!

@ Onyx

He said it took 18-24 months. Not less than 18.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

outlawauron said:
@ Onyx

He said it took 18-24 months. Not less than 18.

You might want to look again.

 



Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.



The people who are disagreeing with you are far more right than you are though as they never made the original claim without any relative substantial evidence.



slowmo said:
The people who are disagreeing with you are far more right than you are though as they never made the original claim without any relative substantial evidence.

 

      So, you are expecting that this gen's Final Fantasy XIII and Gran Turismo 5 will sell significantly less copies in Japan than versions on earlier consoles?  If so, what evidence are you basing that claim on?



Heavens to Murgatoids.