Sure, you won't see footage of Modern Warfare 2 until June, and that's going to outsell every PS3 exclusive.

No, Uncharted is another Resistance/Motorstorm, excessively bundled, then the sequel tries to stand on its own and fails massively. I believe that R:FoM was not excessively bundled... It was bundled a lot, but a lot of its sales are from being one of the few quality launch titles. Motorstorm, yeah, it was bundled a lot. A whole lot. As for the sequels failing massively, Resistance 2 has sold 1.54 million which is pretty good, and Motorstorm: PR has sold .63 million, which isn't as great, and kind of is a fail. =)

Heavy Rain has bomb written all over it, it's a Quantic Dream game and it's a 1st party PS3 game, both of which have a history of underperforming at retail. 1st party PS3 games underperform? Really? Motorstorm (which we can agree was heavily bundled) sold 3.47 million. Uncharted: Drake's Fortune (not as heavily bundled) sold 2.32 million. LittleBigPlanet has sold 2.13 million. Feel free to look up the rest. Granted, they may not sell as well as some multiplat games, but those are huge, and the games I listed are new IPs for this generation.

If anything MS 1st party is well ahead of Sonys, Forza is a bigger series than anything Sonys launching this year and Halo is in a league of its own, that#s the PS3's biggest problem. A lack of blockbusters, it's mostly fillers, Sony just likes to pretend it's blockbuster. They may not be your definition of blockbusters, but they can certainly hold their own. That, and Halo and Forza were both on the Xbox, so they've had longer to build up a fanbase.

 I don't think anybody doubts MS will announce several games at E3. Most companies announce games at E3 that get released one or two years later.