mrstickball said:
noname2200 said:
mrstickball said: Not good if the result of this is cannibalization of sales for the lesser-selling titles. That's what it would seem to point to, which is very unhealthy for the leading console. |
True, although I would like to point out that the situation is only modestly worse on the Wii than the other systems (13% for the Wii, as opposed to "closer to 20%" for the others). And again, it appears that the Wii pie is larger than the other systems.
Nonetheless, your point is well taken.
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But look at the numbers again. That 13/80 versus the standard 20/80 means that there's a 65% higher likelihood of your Wii title seeing poorer sales due to canibalization. That 7% difference is huge in the grand scheme of things, because skews data strongly in favor of the Nintendo evergreens and major casual, non-Nintendo successes.
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I'm not actually sure that's how statistics work, Mr.Stickball, but even if they did there's still the second sentence in that paragraph.
As a lesson to myself, in the future I should finish doing research before making a thread...
http://www.gamasutra.com/view/feature/3906/npd_behind_the_numbers_december_.php?page=2
"Nintendo revealed in a recent press release that 132 million units of software were sold for its systems during the year, or just over 49% of all software units sold in 2008. Of that 132 million, we estimate that over 70 million were for the Nintendo Wii...
"Microsoft would have sold...in the neighborhood of 48-49 million units of Xbox 360 software for all of 2008...
"According to software sales figures from Sony, it appears that more than 27 million PS3 software units were sold in 2008."
Crunching the numbers, the "have-nots" on the Wii accounted for 14 million units of software. Assuming the 360 and PS3 are actually at an 80/20 split (and it certainly doesn't sound like they are, since it says they are "closer to" rather than "at" that figure) we get 9.6 million for the "have-nots" on the 360, and 5.4 million for the PS3.
It seems that the Wii remains healthier for the outsiders on the Wii, assuming my math is correct. The pie is much, much larger, so having a slightly smaller share still gets you more in the end.