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Forums - Sales - Most anticipated games from 2009, by genre

@shio

Well Mario Kart Wii will continue to outsell every other racing game coming out in 2009, and should be awarded accordingly for that feat, don't you think? Wii Fit should be under simulation and should at very least be in second behind The Sims 3, but it would be smarter to put it in first. Since you don't have a sports category, Wii Sports Resort should go in Action and be either first or at least second right after Call of Duty. Punch Out Wii also belongs somewhere on that action list. Monster Hunter 3 needs to be somewhere on that Action/Adventure list. Japan will eat it up like hotcakes in my belly.

You also left out Dragon Quest IX for DS, which should be at least be nestled in between FF XIII and Dragon Age.

I'm sure there are others, but that's all I can think of right now.



Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.



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BengaBenga said:
Yeah, sure. ONE Wii game, when the install base will be near 75 million at the end of 2009?!?

Some comments:

Heavy Rain will bomb and won't be the best sold adventure of 2009.
Killzone 2 won't sell more than RE5
Star Ocean 4 will definitely be in the top 10 RPGs
As much as I would want it to, sadly BG&E 2 won't do much
Pikmin 3 should be in the simulation list
Halo will definitely be in the top 3 shooters, it's Halo and will have MASSIVE PR

If you can think of Wii games that can reach the top10/5 of the genres, then tell me. I'm taking opinions.

Heavy Rain will probably bomb, but even if it bombs it will likely still be the best-selling adventure game of 2009. Heavy Rain even has the help of Sony and will get good advertisement (something the other adventure games don't have).

Star Ocean 4? Very unlikely given the terrible sales of other jrpgs on 360.

Yes, B&G2 will probably do not much. But I'm also expecting the games below it to sell weak-ish. Even if GTA IV DLC sells more copies, it will be at a much lower price-point.

Pikmin 3 we don't know anything about it, and I have no doubt it won't come until 2010.

Halo: ODST is an expansion, and consoles still don't seem to have the culture to buy expansions, especially if it's from a 2 year old game. The sales of Oblivion's expansion on Xbox 360 was terrible (only 200k) for a multi-million seller game.

 

EDIT: @Onyxmeth: I'm only talking about games released in 2009. It would be boring to fill the list with several The Sims games and Wii series games. And let's not even forget about having to add, like, 3 World of Warcraft titles in the RPG's top10.
The upside is that we are measuring the success of the games we list throughout it's entire lifetime, not just during 2009.

 



So you're with the ones that think God of War won't see 2009...



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shio said:

EDIT: @Onyxmeth: I'm only talking about games released in 2009. It would be boring to fill the list with several The Sims games and Wii series games. And let's not even forget about having to add, like, 3 World of Warcraft titles in the RPG's top10.
The upside is that we are measuring the success of the games we list throughout it's entire lifetime, not just during 2009.

 

Fair enough. Wii Sports Resort, Monster Hunter 3, Punch Out Wii and Dragon Quest IX are absolute musts on your list, so at least add them. Wii Sports Resort is going to be a monster, so it should top whichever category you throw it in.

 



Tag: Became a freaking mod and a complete douche, coincidentally, at the same time.



Decent list.



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I removed FFXIII because it was announced to come only 2010. I also added DQIX and lowered DC Universe's position because I think it will have too much competition with Champions Online, and DC Universe is also developed by Sony so I woouldn't put much hope on the game.



Onyxmeth said:
shio said:

EDIT: @Onyxmeth: I'm only talking about games released in 2009. It would be boring to fill the list with several The Sims games and Wii series games. And let's not even forget about having to add, like, 3 World of Warcraft titles in the RPG's top10.
The upside is that we are measuring the success of the games we list throughout it's entire lifetime, not just during 2009.

 

Fair enough. Wii Sports Resort, Monster Hunter 3, Punch Out Wii and Dragon Quest IX are absolute musts on your list, so at least add them. Wii Sports Resort is going to be a monster, so it should top whichever category you throw it in.

 

I added DQIX. Wii Sports Resort is a Sports/Party game, and I haven't made a list of the sports genre yet. Monster Hunter 3 I don't know what to think of it, it might sell great or not enough to reach top10 of RPGs. I don't expect much of Punch Out.

 



Basically shio is just over-estimating the success of every single PC game coming out in 2009.

This part of his sales rankings was funniest though:
4. Demigod
5. Anno 1404
6. Cities XL
7. Halo Wars

lol No. 4-6 are low budget games that cost less than $5million to develop by dev teams of around 20-30 guys. I expect these games to sell less than 500,000 copies (Anno 1404 mite sell 1 a million because it will be picked up from the bargain bin at 15 Euros in large numbers, like the Settlers games)

Halo Wars is made by a 100 people dev studio called Ensemble, and cost at least $20 million to make. I expect it to sell at least 2 million copies at nearly full price (~$50 per copy)

And Demigod? Wth is Demigod...?

 

 

(I do know what Demigod is but I doubt many others do.)



4. Aion: Tower of Eternity
5. Champions Online
6. Alpha Protocol
7. Mass Effect 2

Heh.



So....why is Street Fighter IV listed as "action"?