c0rd said:
aavidbacon said: ^One of the points I made in my first post. Wii is becoming a home device. |
What do you think everyone thought of the PS2? It captured the mass market nearly as well, and is still selling, even today. The DVD player definitely helped in securing its spot in the living room. People buying GTA, Madden, or PES were often not the same crowd as those buying the GC.
Will you agree that the PS2 was not competing with the GC? It's the same story, really.
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My point is that if there isn´t a wii in the store, people won´t jump to the alternative. If Wii price jumped to, lets say, $350, the PS360 sales wouldn´t change. In matter of fact, I could bet that even the wii sales would drop more than 5% per week. IMO the Wii is underpriced.
The PS2 wasn´t on my mom´s wish list, the Wii is. And if you look around you´ll see that´s not a single case. People that never thought about videogames are thinking about getting a wii and I say they are the biggest chunk of the wii crowd. The PS360 is not competing with the wii for this public attention.
At the same time, people that have been gamming for ages and are not Nintendo fans won´t be satisfied with only a wii. The same people that buy Fallout, GTA, Dead Space, Gears, Resistance will eventually get a wii in their residences for one reason or another, but won´t give up playing in the HD consoles.
In the end of this gen the market share will probably be at 50%+- for wii and the rest of the market shared between the HD consoles, with a considerable shunk of this market share overlaped. My bet is between 10-20% of the wii onwners will have another console. But the wii will be in every home.