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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the Wii have 50% market share by the end of 2009?

Cheebee on 23 December 2008

Lol @ thread. :p



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solracbrit on 23 December 2008
11ht11 said:
apparently people think the wii isnt competing with the 360 and ps3

so that means the wii is at 100% market share!

 

 THIS!!!!!! LOL



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supermario128 on 23 December 2008

It will be much higher than 50% at the end of 2009.




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CrazzyMan on 23 December 2008

IF it won`t cross 50% in Q1, then it won`t at all.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

supermario128 on 23 December 2008

Btw, was this thread inspired by my prediction in the other thread?




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tombi123 on 23 December 2008
zleep said:
@tombi: You are right, I was just talking in the hypothetical case where Wii starts to die off, which is not gonna happen. If the Wii received a pricecut then HD sales would be even smaller.

But tell me, do you expect a massive YoY growth in console sales next year? Why?
You have PS3 at 15 million and 360 at 13.5 million, Wii at 30 million.

Thats a total of 58 million vs approx 49 million this year. I honestly see no way of how that could be happening considering we will be having a full year with an economic crisis.

Can you explain me how a 9 million growth will be possible? I can only see that happening if Wii supply goes up even more, HD consoles will not see that kind of bump.

 

Sorry, I misread/misinterpreted what you wrote. 

Well the YoY growth comes from, a whole year of the 360 being at a very low price. The premium model is cheaper than the Wii in Europe and the arcade is £20 more than a PS2 (in the UK)! I think microsoft could also do a 50$ price cut in NA if sales dry up a bit. 

I only think the PS3 will could reach 15M if it has a 100$/£/Euro price cut. And even then its not certain. 

I agree that if Nintendo increase production to more than 2.4M a month, than the Wii will be at more than 50% market share at the end of 2009.



zleep on 23 December 2008

@Crazzyman: And why is that?

Same old, same old.



tombi123 on 23 December 2008
supermario128 said:
Btw, was this thread inspired by my prediction in the other thread?

 

Yes!



Lolcislaw on 23 December 2008

It will be above 50% in January , Early February. By the end of 2009 it will be definately above 50% , maybe not 60% but i reckon around 56%



Ickalanda on 23 December 2008

Yes the Wii should be at 50% market share during next year. With the rate it's been growing, which is even faster than the DS did, it will easily reach 50% probably even before midway through next year.



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