Squilliam said:
Seperate the men from the sheep/boys.
I see a lot of people acting like they "knew this situation would happen all along". But who here really had the foresight to predict the current situation and the balls to state it publicly? This isn't about me, its about the people who are going along with the crowd and just repeating the general mindset of the forums.
Im not talking about predictions made in 2007 when Xbox 360 fever was still rife in the forum, try middle of 2008 when it was the same story every week. (PS3 > Xbox 360). So are the people really thinking for themselves when they post "knowingly" in the PS3 doomed threads? Its the same situation where people were calling the Xbox 360 doomed not too long ago. Heres the logic I think is being applied by 90% of the people on those PS3 doomed threads:
Reach conclusion first, support with reasoning and justify with 'evidence'.
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You're completely right, Squilliam. There's a powerful groupthink in communities like this. I'm sure you've also noticed how 90% of the people on these forums just predict what they WANT to see happen, rather than make actual observations about the market. It seems hard for most of us to separate emotion from logic when it comes to gaming.
Personally, I'm down on the PS3 because 2008 holiday sales are lower than 2007 holiday sales in all three regions. That should not be happening for a healthy platform. Sales should always be up going into holiday #3 over holiday #2. (It's actually holiday #2 in Europe, and sales are still lower than holiday #1!) These are very, very bad signs in terms of trending for the future.
I don't care what the rest of the forum-goers think. Unless I see a dramatic turnaround in the next few weeks, I'll be perfectly prepared to go out on a limb and predict a poor 2009 for the PS3, then eat crow if it has a miraculous revival. I only do one prediction per year, and I put a lot of time and effort into it. 
