Northstar, there's really no word for that second to last post other than 'wrong'.
"I really don't see the guy that wants a PS3 or 360 saying nah i would rather get a Wii."
You see this a lot on message boards, among those who consider themselves 'hardcore gamers'. People project their preferences on to the market.
Face it - this is exactly what's happening. People are looking at the 360 and PS3 and saying, as you put it, 'nah'. There's no reason to think that virtually everyone buying a Wii is either a Gamecube owner or a new gamer, which is what this implies. I mean, come on - the thing has already almost matched the Gamecube in worldwide sales. Sure, Nintendo's expanding the market, but seriously. It's painfully obvious that people are buying a Wii who were traditionally Sony gamers.
The vast majority of consumers buy only one system every generation. What exactly has happened to all of the traditional early adopters if they haven't bought a Wii? Do you think that Nintendo is bringing in more new gamers than there are old gamers on every other system?
I don't know that anyone has hard numbers for this sort of thing, but I'm sure that almost everyone here can give you reams of anecdotal evidence. Every single person I know who only owned a PS2 last generation has expressed absolutely no desire for the PS3 or 360, and many have nothing but good things to say about the Wii.