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Forums - Nintendo - Metroid:Corruption - NA sales prediction thread...

HappySqurriel said:

The original Metroid Prime sold 1.92 Million units in North America in its lifetime ...

Metroid Prime 2 didn't sell as well but was released in November 2004 directly against World of Warcraft, Metal Gear Solid 3, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Half Life 2 and Halo 2.

Lifetime I expect Metroid Prime 3 to outperform Metroid Prime so by the end of 2007 it will be approaching 1.5 to 2 Million games sold in North America.


Agreed.

lifetime it will easily break 2 million.



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Sort of funny (and sad) that it will almost certainly be outsold by Mario Party 8...



Gesta Non Verba

Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:

Game Assessment website

Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099

Here, this is what I think it's going to happen. You can remember this:

Launch Week: 145,000

End of September: 422,000

End of Year: 550,000

I'm fairly positive about my prediction for the launch week and for the end of September, not really sure about the end of the year. We'll see, I guess.



If it controls smoother than RE4, First Week 200k (Supply) second week 98, third week 50, 25k for the next weeks till 2 weeks before christmas, than 50k again, then 40k, then 5-7k for a long while. For NA.

If the Japanese version has tentacle monsters: I'm importing. But sales will be about half of North America by the end, though I suck at predicting purchasing patterns.



See Ya George.

"He did not die - He passed Away"

At least following a comedians own jokes makes his death easier.

300k first week

800k first month



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260,345 first week
End of year 1,045,000



185 000 First Week
745 000 End of the month



By me:

Made with Blender + LuxRender
"Since you can´t understand ... there is no point to taking you seriously."

175k first week
600k end of month
1.5m end of year



PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)

If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.

Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007

Well, this one is kinda different. It should be a great game that proves FPS on Wii, however, it is a franchise that is really part of Nintendo Hardcore owners lists. Not the casual Nintendo people's. So...

I think it will fare better than MP2 as it will be hyped much better.

200k week one (obviously NA only)
1m by Jan.



Some of you are a little optimistic. Metroid is a big game, sure, but it has a LOT of competition in August, as shown in this beautiful thread...

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=4583

This will likely get me slaughtered, but August will be a 360 month. Everyone will buy Madden and Bioshock, no one will have money left for Corruption. I'd put it at...

110-120k first week...

550k by end of September...

Million seller by 08!