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Forums - Gaming - Conduit will be a AAA title on the Wii

I disagree with the OP.
No matter how you spin it FPS is a big, but niche genre. The console players for this genre have already put their money down on the PS360. They are not going to buy a Wii for this game. There are not enough viable FPS on the Wii to grab the FPS market. If there were a good number of excellent FPS on the Wii then this game would beat out the other Wii FPS. Otherwise no.

There will be no 3 million for the Wii. it will be fortunate, but not impossible to reach 1 million. Otherwise count me around half a million.



Squilliam: On Vgcharts its a commonly accepted practice to twist the bounds of plausibility in order to support your argument or agenda so I think its pretty cool that this gives me the precedent to say whatever I damn well please.

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Chrizum said:
kingofwale said:
Chrizum said:
It's pretty funny that most Sony fanboys here are predicting 500k.

Do you really think The Conduit, one of the most hyped third party Wii games yet, will sell less than Zack and Wiki? Really?

 

How about a ban bet then? Conduit doesn't sell... say. 1.5 million by Jan 01/10. you take 1 month vacation from here.


Considering this is the "one of the most hyped third party wii games" (according to yourself), i'm sure you have no problem joining the bet.

 

;)

How about the other way around? If it sells more than 500k, you get banned for a month?

For the record, I'm predicting this game to sell 1m - 1.5m eventually. Probably over a million within a year from release.

 

so... let me get this straight. some people predict a difference of 500K from yours, while others predicts over 1.5 millions difference from you??? Funny how you picked on one group of people and no other. ;)



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
kingofwale said:
Chrizum said:
kingofwale said:
Chrizum said:
It's pretty funny that most Sony fanboys here are predicting 500k.

Do you really think The Conduit, one of the most hyped third party Wii games yet, will sell less than Zack and Wiki? Really?

 

How about a ban bet then? Conduit doesn't sell... say. 1.5 million by Jan 01/10. you take 1 month vacation from here.


Considering this is the "one of the most hyped third party wii games" (according to yourself), i'm sure you have no problem joining the bet.

 

;)

How about the other way around? If it sells more than 500k, you get banned for a month?

For the record, I'm predicting this game to sell 1m - 1.5m eventually. Probably over a million within a year from release.

 

so... let me get this straight. some people predict a difference of 500K from yours, while others predicts over 1.5 millions difference from you??? Funny how you picked on one group of people and no other. ;)

Ehh. No one here besides the OP is predicting 3 million or anything equally bizarre. But 500k is borderling trolling if you ask me. The people here predicting 500k would still call the game a flop when it passes a million. That's fanboys in a nutshell.

Even the most niche games are passing 500k (Zack & Wiki, Boom Blox), and all "quality" FPS's have sold over 500k (Red Steel and Call of Duty 3 over a million, MOHH2 over 500k).

There is no reason to assume The Conduit won't ever sell more than 500k. 750k - 2m would be a realistic range, considering the hype, perceived quality in previews, and past accomplishments in the genre.



around 80 metacritic, and around 800k for the end of the year



 

Alright. Who wants honesty? My gut tells me that it is going to be a very generic FPS. It'll have good controls and good graphics, but I get a bad feeling that it's going to be a cheesy Halo wannabe. I expect it to not do very well either. Most shooters on the Wii don't. 1,000,000 maybe, but only because of the huge user base.  I am looking forward to Red Steel 2 with WM+ sword controls much, much more. Mind you, I hope that I am wrong about all of the bad feelings that I'm getting about the Conduit.



Proud member of the SONIC SUPPORT SQUAD

Tag "Sorry man. Someone pissed in my Wheaties."

"There are like ten games a year that sell over a million units."  High Voltage CEO -  Eric Nofsinger

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Has a chance to be AAA and sell a lot. Lets see how the final product turns out first. I hope there's split screen multiplayer in the sequal, even if it's just two thats better than nothing



Chrizum said:
kingofwale said:
Chrizum said:
kingofwale said:
Chrizum said:
It's pretty funny that most Sony fanboys here are predicting 500k.

Do you really think The Conduit, one of the most hyped third party Wii games yet, will sell less than Zack and Wiki? Really?

 

How about a ban bet then? Conduit doesn't sell... say. 1.5 million by Jan 01/10. you take 1 month vacation from here.


Considering this is the "one of the most hyped third party wii games" (according to yourself), i'm sure you have no problem joining the bet.

 

;)

How about the other way around? If it sells more than 500k, you get banned for a month?

For the record, I'm predicting this game to sell 1m - 1.5m eventually. Probably over a million within a year from release.

 

so... let me get this straight. some people predict a difference of 500K from yours, while others predicts over 1.5 millions difference from you??? Funny how you picked on one group of people and no other. ;)

Ehh. No one here besides the OP is predicting 3 million or anything equally bizarre. But 500k is borderling trolling if you ask me. The people here predicting 500k would still call the game a flop when it passes a million. That's fanboys in a nutshell.

Even the most niche games are passing 500k (Zack & Wiki, Boom Blox), and all "quality" FPS's have sold over 500k (Red Steel and Call of Duty 3 over a million, MOHH2 over 500k).

There is no reason to assume The Conduit won't ever sell more than 500k. 750k - 2m would be a realistic range, considering the hype, perceived quality in previews, and past accomplishments in the genre.

so... let me get this straight again.... Over predicting is "bizarre", while under-predicting is "borderline trolling". I'm sorry, just that I haven't been here in a while and not used to all the 'fanboyism"

Zack and Wiki is just at 500K with an universally acclaimed review score. Red Steel was highly hyped Launch title and same goes for CoD3 (while not to mention it bears the name that sold many times more on other consoles).

To say a Conduit, made by HV is automatically deserving over 500K is frankly... no more or less "borderline trolling" as any other predictions here.

 



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)

I hope you're right.



there's no way the conduit will only sell 500k lifetime.



"Pier was a chef, a gifted and respected chef who made millions selling his dishes to the residents of New York City and Boston, he even had a famous jingle playing in those cities that everyone knew by heart. He also had a restaurant in Los Angeles, but not expecting LA to have such a massive population he only used his name on that restaurant and left it to his least capable and cheapest chefs. While his New York restaurant sold kobe beef for $100 and his Boston restaurant sold lobster for $50, his LA restaurant sold cheap hotdogs for $30. Initially these hot dogs sold fairly well because residents of los angeles were starving for good food and hoped that the famous name would denote a high quality, but most were disappointed with what they ate. Seeing the success of his cheap hot dogs in LA, Pier thought "why bother giving Los Angeles quality meats when I can oversell them on cheap hotdogs forever, and since I don't care about the product anyways, why bother advertising them? So Pier continued to only sell cheap hotdogs in LA and was surprised to see that they no longer sold. Pier's conclusion? Residents of Los Angeles don't like food."

"The so-called "hardcore" gamer is a marketing brainwashed, innovation shunting, self-righteous idiot who pays videogame makers far too much money than what is delivered."

numonex said:
Metacritic = low 90's
Sales = 3.5m to 4m

 

I thought Killzone 2 was overhyped?



"After you win, son, I feel like going for a ride on your bike, haha." ~Doc Louis (Punch Out Wii)