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Forums - Sony - Will all of these games sell a million on PS3 before the year is out?

Mirrors edge;Yes ,but maybe not at 31dec but in early january.

COD WAW:Yes ,LOTS of COD4 players waiting for this one.

Soul Cal 4:Maybe ,its close and if it manages a good boost in december ...

Madden 09:Sure

LBP;Yes

Resistance 2;Yes

Fifa 09;Yes

Pro Evo 09;Yes

SW TFU;AS SCIV it depends on the christmas boost ....I would bet it will.

Fallout 3:It will be difficult ,great game though (nonsenses about it being an inferior version put apart).

Valkyria Chronicles:Probably not ......wich is a shame .

Naruto UNS ;It has some possibilities ,it depends heavily in pulling some 300K in Japan.

Far Cry 2:No ,after the current vgchartz numbers.I will wait for official NPD data for this one ,it could be greatly undertracked .

Dead Space;Yes

Socom Confrontation;I will wait for NPD numbers for this one ....vgchartz numbers have changed its first week estimations 3 times now.Plus theres the donwloadable versions.It has possibilities ,specially given that its not broken anymore and the word of mouth can work as well as before .

Rock Band 2:No ,great legs but slow seller

GH: WT:No





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jerseyboy609 said:

Mirrors edge No

COD WAW No

Soul Cal 4 Yes

Madden 09 Yes

LBP Yes

Resistance 2 Yes

Fifa 09 Yes

Pro Evo 09 Yes

SW TFU No

Fallout 3 No

Valkyria Chronicles No

Naruto UNS No

Far Cry 2 No

Dead Space No

Socom Confrontation No

Rock Band 2 No

GH: WT No

 

 

 

 



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

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Trestres, you really think Call of Duty 5 won't sell at least a million on the PS3 by the end of the year?



 

 

@Montana: Well, it depends on the reviews, everyone was thinking Haze was gonna be the next big thing, I guess they were all wrong.

It's not an IW CoD and the previous WWII CoD didn't sell well on PS3, so my guess is no. Also seeing as how QoS bombed on every platform which is an Activision shooter too.

CoD3 sold 0.56 million LTD
Medal of Honor: Airborne sold 0.18 million LTD
Battlefield: Bad Company sold 0.51 million LTD
Rainbow Six Vegas sold 0.41 million LTD
Rainbow Six Vegas 2 sold 0.75 million LTD
Ghost Recon Advanced Warfighter 2 sold 0.34 million LTD
Brothers in Arms: HH sold 0.24 million LTD
SOCOM US Navy Seals sold 0.23 LTD
Army of Two sold 0.78 million LTD
Mercenaries 2 sold 0.33 million LTD
Far Cry 2 sold 0.27 million LTD
Turning Point Fall of Liberty sold 0.17 million LTD
Enemy Territory Quake Wars sold 0.17 million LTD
Blazing Angels: Squadrons of WWII sold 0.14 million LTD
Blazing Angels 2: Secret Missions of WWII sold 0.06 million LTD
Conflict: Denied Ops sold 0.12 million LTD
Soldier of Fortune: Payback sold 0.05 million LTD
Blacksite Area 51 sold 0.04 million LTD

All of these war releated games have sold way less than a million, so the pattern is obvious. Save for CoD4 at 3.69 million, and Resistance at 3.21 million no other FPS or war related game has sold more than a million. If the game isn-t the next big thing, I really cant see it breaking a million this year, and maybe not even LTD.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

trestres said:
@Montana: Well, it depends on the reviews, everyone was thinking Haze was gonna be the next big thing, I guess they were all wrong.

It's not an IW CoD and the previous WWII CoD didn't sell well on PS3, so my guess is no. Also seeing as how QoS bombed on every platform which is an Activision shooter too.

CoD3 sold 0.56 million LTD
Medal of Honor: Airborne sold 0.18 million LTD
Battlefield: Bad Company sold 0.51 million LTD
Rainbow Six Vegas sold 0.41 million LTD
Rainbow Six Vegas 2 sold 0.75 million LTD
Ghost Recon Advanced Warfighter 2 sold 0.34 million LTD
Brothers in Arms: HH sold 0.24 million LTD
SOCOM US Navy Seals sold 0.23 LTD
Army of Two sold 0.78 million LTD
Mercenaries 2 sold 0.33 million LTD
Far Cry 2 sold 0.27 million LTD
Turning Point Fall of Liberty sold 0.17 million LTD
Enemy Territory Quake Wars sold 0.17 million LTD
Blazing Angels: Squadrons of WWII sold 0.14 million LTD
Blazing Angels 2: Secret Missions of WWII sold 0.06 million LTD
Conflict: Denied Ops sold 0.12 million LTD
Soldier of Fortune: Payback sold 0.05 million LTD
Blacksite Area 51 sold 0.04 million LTD

All of these war releated games have sold way less than a million, so the pattern is obvious. Save for CoD4 at 3.69 million, and Resistance at 3.21 million no other FPS or war related game has sold more than a million. If the game isn-t the next big thing, I really cant see it breaking a million this year, and maybe not even LTD.

Haze was a highly hyped exclusive that fell flat on its face upon meeting reviews, and when the only audience it was appealing to realized its mediocrity, its failure was quickly determined. Call of Duty 5 is being hyped by way more people due to it being on more platforms. And how did Quantum of Solace bomb? It's only been released in PAL so far, and I'm guessing that the only place it sold decently was the United Kingdom. I'd wait for more than 1 week of sales to call a bomb, especially with the combined sales of every version and an upcoming holiday season. And the reason Call of Duty 3 "bombed" on the PS3 was because it had competition with the superior Resistance: Fall of Man (the Wii version had this same problem with Red Steel), and the userbase was laughably low. And what's this about war related games? Metal Gear Solid 4 is about the closest thing you can get to that category, and it sold pretty well. Mercenaries 2 is a sandbox type game that's more similar to Grand Theft Auto than your average shooter game. Besides, there's no indication that Call of Duty 5 will be vastly worse than Call of Duty 4. Sure, it's a different developer, but anyone who's played the beta (including myself) can tell you that the two games are very similar. If it were truly a disappointment and didn't manage to sell 1 million on the PS3 by the end of the year, it would certainly manage it lifetime. You'd have to be a pretty terrible predictor to guess otherwise.

 



 

 

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We shall see. So far only 2 FPS sold a million on PS3 out of a huge amount. Besides you said it, its gonna have to compete against a ton other games, including Resitance 2 which is another FPS. I still believe it won-t make it to a million this year, but I never said it definitely wont LT.

What are your predictions for these games? I want to know how terrible of a predictor I am compared to others.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

trestres said:
We shall see. So far only 2 FPS sold a million on PS3 out of a huge amount. Besides you said it, its gonna have to compete against a ton other games, including Resitance 2 which is another FPS. I still believe it won-t make it to a million this year, but I never said it definitely wont LT.

What are your predictions for these games? I want to know how terrible of a predictor I am compared to others.

Lol, don't take my argument as being harsh. I was just getting carried away .

Anyways, Call of Duty 4 sold about 1.8 million by the end of 2007, so my guess for Call of Duty 5 is about 2.3-2.4 million by the end of the 2008. Then again, I'm not that great of a predictor either. The PS3 release schedule was fairly bare-bones back in 2007. We'll take the wait and see approach here.

 



 

 

Lol ok I got defensive for no reason. I aknowledge this game could very well end up being a big seller, but Im just saying it depends on reviews. I know that if doesnt make a million this year, it will LT. But if reviews are really bad, then I don't see it performing very well.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

Funny thing about Quantum of solace is that it had best debut on ps3 in pal.



 

Most people who bought 4 have no idea about the different devs, and by the looks of things, WaW is going to have a good reception. Those people are going to buy the game, because its MP is basically the same as 4, but in a different time period, and the MP was what sold 4