SaviorX said:
Groucho said:
The supply of the Wii now outpaces the demand, if you go by Reggie's 2.4mil/month numbers. At this rate, the Wii looks to be under 2mil/month, in terms of demand (which is phenominal!), but at last Nintendo can supply the units necessary, and with room to spare. It looks like any extra Wiis provided now will get eaten up in december, if typical sales patterns apply.
Looks like the Wii hitting 40mil this year will be a nail biter, although Nintendo should be able to provide enough units for 41mil, overall. Should be fun to watch.
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Quite the contrary my friend, I think the Wii is not yet close to reaching demand, and Christmas will prove that. As for 40m being a nail-biter, I think (my opinion here) the Wii will be at 42.5m by the years end.
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I think you need to read what I said a little closer. =)
And, by Nintendo's own account, they won't be able to put enough units on store shelves to beat 41 million units before Jan 1st. Nintendo currently supplies a little less than 600K units/week (2.4mil/month) -- there are 9 weeks (two months -- i.e. 4.8 million units, assuming Nintendo's production was at 2.4mil a couple months back where, in terms of time, the supply chain begins for current on-shelf units). With current VGC data, that means that Nintendo cannot even have put enough units in the supply chain to hit the 41 mil mark by Jan 1st, unless they have some mighty big stockpiles.
We saw last year a huuuge jump just before the end of December, as the full Nintendo supply train unloaded itself onto store shelves just as the end of December hit. I don't believe we will see such a leap this year (not in terms of proportion, anyway), due to the Wiis eternal popularity, and the inability of Nintendo to actually create a stockpile situation this year (because they have been doing a good job keeping the Wiis coming all year, and haven't created the issues that caused last year's jump), given the huge demand (weekly demand is up something like 75% over last year).
Only time will tell if the Nintendo elves are actually making the 3-4 million / month to hit the numbers you're looking for, but tell us in public statements that they are cranking out 2.4 mil/month instead. Those sneaky business types, wanting to "surprise" the stockholders. Stockholders love misinformation, you know. ;)