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Forums - Sales - Totals by end Jan '09 - lets hear 'em...

When VGC ran the polls for each console here is how I voted?

Wii 45 million

360 25 million

PS3 20 million

So I'm going to stick by those numbers.



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kowenicki said:

So its close enough to christmas to make predictions, the console prices seem to be set and we know which games are available...

So.. assuming no PS3 price cut (now very unlikely)... where will it all settle by end of Jan '09

I will go first

Wii     -  41.0m (Possibly higher... supply)

360    -  26.5m (Possibly higher... new price effect unknown but must give a reasonable boost over last year)

PS3    -  20.5m (I am giving the benefit of the doubt and assuming similar to last year plus a bit extra) 

so you reckon the 360 will outsell the ps3 by 1 million from now until the new year? i don't see that happening some how.

 




Wii will probably be supply constrained... the PS3 may not break 20 million depending on the economy of the US and Euro going into Nov. I think the 360 will do well... probably hit that 26 million mark... I'm kind of hoping that they can keep pace with the Wii... I'd really like to see Wii's lion share of the console market go down... I was really hoping for a three horse race this time around.



I suspect that Nintendo will under perform and not reach 60M by year end for the Wii.



kowenicki said:
DOATS1 said:
kowenicki said:

So its close enough to christmas to make predictions, the console prices seem to be set and we know which games are available...

So.. assuming no PS3 price cut (now very unlikely)... where will it all settle by end of Jan '09

I will go first

Wii     -  41.0m (Possibly higher... supply)

360    -  26.5m (Possibly higher... new price effect unknown but must give a reasonable boost over last year)

PS3    -  20.5m (I am giving the benefit of the doubt and assuming similar to last year plus a bit extra) 

so you reckon the 360 will outsell the ps3 by 1 million from now until the new year? i don't see that happening some how.

 

why not...?  put your money where your mouth is and post your numbers.

 

the 360 would have to average about 90k a week more than the ps3 from now until then for that to happen - and i'm not posting numbers because i seriously have no idea how it will pan out.

 




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Xbox 360 - 25 - 26 million
PS3 - 20 - 21 million
Wii - 39 - 42 million
PSP - 42 million
DS (including DSi) - 95 million



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DOATS1 said:
kowenicki said:
DOATS1 said:
kowenicki said:

So its close enough to christmas to make predictions, the console prices seem to be set and we know which games are available...

So.. assuming no PS3 price cut (now very unlikely)... where will it all settle by end of Jan '09

I will go first

Wii     -  41.0m (Possibly higher... supply)

360    -  26.5m (Possibly higher... new price effect unknown but must give a reasonable boost over last year)

PS3    -  20.5m (I am giving the benefit of the doubt and assuming similar to last year plus a bit extra) 

so you reckon the 360 will outsell the ps3 by 1 million from now until the new year? i don't see that happening some how.

 

why not...?  put your money where your mouth is and post your numbers.

 

the 360 would have to average about 90k a week more than the ps3 from now until then for that to happen - and i'm not posting numbers because i seriously have no idea how it will pan out.

 

That would go for all of us DOATS1. None of us here know how the numbers will pan out. We are simply taking our best guess.



Why the end of January? don't you mean the end of December (or the start of January)

Anyhow... I see 45 million Wii by the end of December. (46.5 by the end of Jan)



Darc Requiem said:

That would go for all of us DOATS1. None of us here know how the numbers will pan out. We are simply taking our best guess.

 

 ok then:

ps3 - 21 million

360 - 26 million

wii - 42 million




I know one thing from this thread so far. We will all be more accurate than Pachter.