This is from realclearpolitics.com. Looks like its pretty uncontested at this point that Obama has regained the lead at least in the national polls. The Gallup and Rasmussen average is Obama +2.5. I have also included RCP's electoral projection.
| RCP Average | 09/09 - 09/20 | -- | 47.6 | 45.4 | Obama +2.2 |
| Gallup Tracking | 09/18 - 09/20 | 2720 RV | 49 | 45 | Obama +4 |
| Rasmussen Tracking | 09/18 - 09/20 | 3000 LV | 48 | 47 | Obama +1 |
| Hotline/FD Tracking | 09/18 - 09/20 | 922 RV | 45 | 44 | Obama +1 |
| Battleground Tracking | 09/11 - 09/18 | 800 LV | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| CBS News/NY Times | 09/12 - 09/16 | LV | 49 | 44 | Obama +5 |
| Quinnipiac | 09/11 - 09/16 | 987 LV | 49 | 45 | Obama +4 |
| Pew Research | 09/09 - 09/14 | 2307 LV | 46 | 46 | Tie |
Here is their electoral count. Click the link for a more detailed breakdown. I will include the "toss-up" states:
| Electoral College | Obama | McCain | Spread |
| RCP Electoral Count | 202 | 189 | Obama +13 |
| No Toss Up States | 273 | 265 | Obama +8 |
| Colorado (9) | 47.3 | 44.8 | Obama +2.5 | Toss Up |
Bush +4.7 | Bush +8.4 |
| Ohio (20) | 44.9 | 46.5 | McCain +1.6 | Toss Up |
Bush +2.1 | Bush +3.5 |
| Pennsylvania (21) | 47.0 | 45.3 | Obama +1.7 | Toss Up |
Kerry +2.5 | Gore +4.2 |
| Florida (27) | 45.4 | 48.2 | McCain +2.8 | Toss Up |
Bush +5.0 | Bush +0.1 |
| Nevada (5) | 44.6 | 45.6 | McCain +1.0 | Toss Up |
Bush +2.6 | Bush +3.5 |
| Minnesota (10) | 47.0 | 45.7 | Obama +1.3 | Toss Up |
Kerry +3.5 | Gore +2.4 |
| Virginia (13) | 45.3 | 47.3 | McCain +2.0 | Toss Up |
Bush +8.2 | Bush +8.1 |
| Wisconsin (10) | 47.7 | 45.7 | Obama +2.0 | Toss Up |
Kerry +0.4 | Gore +0.2 |
| Michigan (17) | 47.8 | 44.2 | Obama +3.6 | Toss Up |
Kerry +3.4 | Gore +5.2 |
| Indiana (11) | 45.5 | 47.8 | McCain +2.3 | Toss Up |
Bush +20.7 | Bush +15.7 |
| New Hampshire (4) | 48.0 | 44.7 | Obama +3.3 | Toss Up |
Kerry +1.3 | Bush +1.3 |
We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls. The only thing that really worried me was the ether. There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke
It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...." Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson








Toss Up
