wii sports has to be a budget title for it to sell really well like 20-30 $
How is "less than 10%" a bad number? Especially when you take the hard numbers instead of percentages. Almost 1 million people who have never owned a console bought a Wii as their first. That's damn impressive in a market flooded with "hardcoredness"
Even still, I have a feeling 10% is a low estimate.
PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)
If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.
Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007
yeah i think 10% is a good percentage aswell, seeing as its demand is greater than supply so its mainly hardcore and previous console owners who bother queing up early in the morning and the like to get a wii. when the wii becomes more available i expect that percentage to increase quite alot.
It's kind of what I've been saying all along. Unless the core market shrank drastically, many of the same sort of people that picked up a PS2 in its first year are buying Wiis.
Doesn't it seem odd that the PS3 is behind the GCN and the 360 is tracking the XBox? There are a huge number of traditional early adopters that haven't picked up either of those two, and the early adopter market would seem to be very insensitive to price.
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