Onyxmeth said:
So your argument is that I shouldn't assume anything because the world could end or it could score horribly? Ok, let's assume the former is a sane argument. Let me quote you:
Bioshock (360) 2:1 Bioshock (PS3) (if not, atleast 1.5:1) which would be like 1 mil LTD. First week sales WW like 120k MAX.
None of these games will hinder the sales of the games and especially review scores (as the media is surely to give Gears 2 atleast a handful of 10s), but it will affect HW sales IMO.
-Will launch in December in Japan, so it will get the holiday boost, and it's launching to a RPG starved community.
-I think that LO's weekly sales will start to dip once IU and ToV get word of mouth. Y buy an old RPG when a new one with alot of hype just released? I do think that LO's weekly sales will increase because of the holiday boost tho.
-The beginning of next year, LO weekly sales will dip alot because of the overshadowing of big games. If I were a 360 owner in the beginning of next year, and I had money to buy 1 or 2 games only, it would be Gears of War 2 and Halo 3.
-As soon as WKS is launched in NA and especially Others (with their bigger installed base than NA), it SHOULD easily breeze to 1 mil.
Well that's funny. Nowhere in those predictions did you include the world ending into your calculations. Also...(gasp)...you didn't figure review scores into the account. My gosh, what if White Knight released with a 5 on Metacritic? I'm sorry sir but all of your predictions FAIL because you didn't cover every conceivable thing that could happen. Holy mother of god, you also didn't take into account that there's a .0001% chance that the world could succumb to World War III and all videogames may get postponed in that time. Better go back and adjust those assumptions. I mean what gives anyone the right to make informed assumptions off of real data on a site built around making sales assumptions in the first place?
Here's where I give off the real kicker though. You quoting me in the first place was a failure because I never gave any prediction on Fable 2 sales. Not once. I didn't give a prediction for White Knight sales either. I followed past trends and asked markers why he thought the future would hold differently based on them. I actually don't think Fable 2 is going to sell 2,600,000, but before I can give a proper prediction, I need to recheck my data on sunspots and how they affect global warming. It's imperative to knowing how much Fable 2 will sell.
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ok first of all, the first thing I said was a joke cuz I had thought u meant to put Fable 1 that it sold 2.6 mil, cuz it did, i just saw that and put that in there thinking that was a typo. 2nd, the whole world ending thing, did u see the heheh at the end of the LHC thing? yea I was joking bout that too making fun of VGChartz members, cuz I've seen alot of topics about that lately. Lastly, u did make a prediction about Fable 2, u said:
Fable 2 sales=2,600,000 total
but that's besides the point. My first comment was a misunderstanding, which led to ur comment, which led to my comment which was mainly a joke. I apologize for the misunderstanding.