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Forums - Sony - thesimexchange.com's consensus projections of Wii/360/PS3 sales for Sept/Oc

these are really stupid predictions, no offense.



 

 

 

 

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dallas said:
Squilliam said:
Why the hell would October be lower than September?!?!!?

That's an effect of pricing....the cut is out NOW, and by the end of the month its effect won't be as strong, that's pretty standard for price cuts actually.

 

I've seen sales doubled the week after the PS3's price cuts, next week it will be 80% of that, the next week 85% ofthat, and it will eventually stabilize at a somewhat higher point than before, again b/c of the price cut. 

 

Pachter himself has said that this would increase 360 sales by 20%.....I am somewhat more generous w/ perhaps 25% LT but I also don't think that this cut will really be enough for MS.

 

Except that as you move closer to Christmas console sales tend to increase week on week. Also the numbers for the Xbox 360 put the sales at 65k after the price cut. Thats less than the usal sales of the Xbox 360 when it hasn't had a price cut!

 

 



Tease.

how accurate is this website, is it usually close to the actual amount?



whatever said:
Stever89 said:
I put a lot of faith in VGC # to estimate NPD numbers. According to this site, the Wii only sold 433k in August, while theSimExchange has it at 560k for the USA only, so I invested heavily on the fact that its going to be lower.

We can argue over which numbers are better, but VGC and NPD have had some significant differences lately.  The 360 sales for last month being the largest.

 

 

I never said which was better, but the last few months I've used this sites numbers as a estimation to get a range that the NPD released numbers might be. So far I haven't been disappointed. If the numbers are too close to say wether I should short or long, then I go with my gut but I don't heavily invest. I have a feelnig that since VGC states really low Wii sales, that NPD might report higher, but I feel there's little chance it'll be THAT much higher.

@Gilgamesh, it's hit or miss.