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Forums - Sales - Console percentages after xmas?

My Number in My sig will be wrong at the end of the year. Based on what I am feeling right now, I see end of the year sales and market share percentages as so: Wii 42.01M 46.5% 360 25.48M 28.3% PS3 22.82M 25.2% I still think the Wii is going to hit a wall well below what people think it is going to sale based on its record setting start. It is just to limited of an experiance, and I just can't see there being enough people that want a games only machine for it to be able to continue at this pace for much longer. If I am wrong I have no problem with it. If the Wii can really prove that there are a 100M or more people that are just wanting to play games then that is a great thing. I just hope that those people will eventually start seeing the possibilities of games as an entertainment device insted of a fun toy. As far as PS3 and 360 go. I doubt the price cuts in the US will be enough to give 360 a win over the PS3 worldwide this year. In fact I see PS3 outselling 360 even in America the rest of this year. Last year PS3 sold many sytems on the fact that it was a Blu-ray player. Just look at sales spike aroung the releases of big movies like Spiderman 3. This year the PS3 will have even bigger releases in the Blu-ray library with The Dark Knight, while Blu-ray will also be the only format in town. Plus this year PS3 also has the most first party exclusive out of the three consoles, and they will all be key in every region. So lets just say I expect things to get interesting for the rest of the year.



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Kevyn B Grams
10/03/2010 

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I'm not sure if Nintendo can really increase their lead too much during the holidays due to the 360 and PS3 selling very well at the same time as the Wii. I do think that as soon as the new year rolls in, the Wii will once again hit its stride as the other consoles sales die down and the Wii will march on to over 50% market share..



 

Erm, I think you might want to revise your sales predictions a bit, KBG29. You're basically predicting that the PS3 is going to sell another 2 million units in Japan, 3 million units in America, and 4 million units in Europe in only 4 months, that the 360 is going to sell another 100,000 units in Japan, 3.5 million in the US, and somehow lose 500,000 sales in Europe in the next 4 months, and that the Wii is going to sell 250,000 units in Japan, 50,000 units in the US, and lose 300,000 sales in Europe in the next 4 months.

Almost none of those are practical, and it just screams of you wanting the PS3 to "win" with no real understanding of how market inertia actually works. If you're going to make predictions, at least base it on actual data instead of "feelings". Markets don't shape themselves around "because I wish it would happen that way".



Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.

Sky Render said:
Erm, I think you might want to revise your sales predictions a bit, KBG29. You're basically predicting that the PS3 is going to sell another 2 million units in Japan, 3 million units in America, and 4 million units in Europe in only 4 months, that the 360 is going to sell another 100,000 units in Japan, 3.5 million in the US, and somehow lose 500,000 sales in Europe in the next 4 months, and that the Wii is going to sell 250,000 units in Japan, 50,000 units in the US, and lose 300,000 sales in Europe in the next 4 months.

Almost none of those are practical, and it just screams of you wanting the PS3 to "win" with no real understanding of how market inertia actually works. If you're going to make predictions, at least base it on actual data instead of "feelings". Markets don't shape themselves around "because I wish it would happen that way".

 

 But I wanted and wished for the Wii to be this succesful and it did, same with wiisports, wiiplay,wiifit and soon Wii music and Wii resort.

The lesson here is if Vaio wishes it it will come true. ;)



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You're clearly being silly. Just the same, it's an important life lesson to learn that, if you wish for something and it happens, it's almost certainly just a coincidence.



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50% Wii
27% X360
23% PS3



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49.9% Wii
26% X360
24.1% PS3



i think wii will reach 50% its holiday spikes are usually bigger than the other 2



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proud soldier of nintopia

 

Wii 90% X360 5.2% PS3 4.8% LMAO



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Wii: 48.9%

360: 27.2%

PS3: 23.9%