| Jackson50 said: About half of them are done by national pollsters? I would love to see the evidence supporting that. If you want a more accurate estimate of the outcome of a presidential election, state polls are a better choice than national polls. The election is won by the number of EC votes a candidate wins. Here are two excellent resources my professors and I use when looking at the current state of the presidential election: http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/poll-tracker.htm http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/
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I'm not an idiot. You don't have to point out how the electoral system works, polls, or where to look for comprehensive lists of polls by state. I have probably been looking at polls longer than you.
The problem with all sites that average polling data is that they assume all polls are equal, which is not true. Some polls just have better methodologies and are more "accurate" than others. I am not saying state polls should be ignored, I am saying they should be taken with a grain of salt like any other poll.
Some sites don't include certain polls, while other sites do include them while excluding other polls. Its all really complicated, and while they do give you a decent idea of what is going on in a state, they are far from perfect.
We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls. The only thing that really worried me was the ether. There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke
It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...." Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson
