By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - My Final Fantasy XIII Prediction

steverhcp02 said:
@de85. (i dont want to keep quoting to create a 7 mile post, haha)

good discussion, its tough on a forum thats for sure but i see what youre saying. I just really think FF13 is going to wonders for the franchise based on only the vids we have seen mostly because the art and style seems so breathtaking if implemented without hiccups.

I however do see 2 tide shifting titles that should hit Japan hard and well...LBP and White Knight. If WKC is solid it will do wonders for the FF audience and LBP will do wonders for getting consoles in homes. I think LBP is the only real wildcard here. If the game takes off it could change not only a bit of the PS3 perception, which i think is the PS3's main downfall. It will be interesting but at this point im firmly in the camp of FF13 being a HUGE seller based on what ive seen from generation to generation franchises.

Yeah I agree on that, I think it will Move loads of PS3s ESP in Japan

Around the Network

No. PS3 userbase is way too small in Japan. Unless that userbase increases by a lot, you won't win.




PS3 version
Japan = 2.5 million
USA = 0.7 million
Europe = 1.5 million

Xbox 360 version
USA = 1.5 million
Europe = 1.0 million



Provided that PS3 userbase by launch in Japan is 4 million,

FFXIII will only sell 4-5 million units.

1.5 mil will be in Japan on PS3

1.25 mil will be in EU on PS360 (PS3 750k, 360 500k)

And America will be 2 million (PS3 750k, 360 1.25 mil

So... no.

But the PS3 version will outsell the 360 version. That's fine.



I don't think it's a crazy wager either way; I could see both sides winning in reasonable scenarios. But Final Fantasy 13 is no slam-dunk to see big sales, even in Japan. Keep in mind that Metal Gear Solid 4 is the lifetime top seller in Japan, and it's sitting at 632k right now, moving a little over 5k copies per week. Likely lifetime sales will be around 750k. No other PS3 game is even over 500k in sales.

I know, I know - "it's Final Fantasy." I'm merely pointing out how the game will have to do vastly better than every other title released previously just to reach even 1m in sales.



My Website

End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)

Around the Network
DMeisterJ said:
Provided that PS3 userbase by launch in Japan is 4 million,

FFXIII will only sell 4-5 million units.

1.5 mil will be in Japan on PS3

1.25 mil will be in EU on PS360 (PS3 750k, 360 500k)

And America will be 2 million (PS3 750k, 360 1.25 mil

So... no.

But the PS3 version will outsell the 360 version. That's fine.

 

 Actually, a pretty good prediction.



GOTY Contestants this year: Dead Space 2, Dark Souls, Tales of Graces f. Everything else can suck it.