I don't think it's a crazy wager either way; I could see both sides winning in reasonable scenarios. But Final Fantasy 13 is no slam-dunk to see big sales, even in Japan. Keep in mind that Metal Gear Solid 4 is the lifetime top seller in Japan, and it's sitting at 632k right now, moving a little over 5k copies per week. Likely lifetime sales will be around 750k. No other PS3 game is even over 500k in sales.
I know, I know - "it's Final Fantasy." I'm merely pointing out how the game will have to do vastly better than every other title released previously just to reach even 1m in sales.
End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)







