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Forums - Sales - What are your Tekken 6 sales predictions?

uhohspagettios on 07 August 2008
S.T.A.G.E. said:
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
Less than Soul Calibur, so i'd say 2.5 million (at the very most) in its lifetime. To be very truthful because it's Only Sony's installed base buying it i'd say a healthy 1.5 to 2 Million is healthy.

Tekken has always been more popular than Soul Calibur, and even if it's not multiplat, considering SC's less than stellar debut in Japan/Europe/others, I don't think Tekken will have too hard of a time surpassing it (especially in Europe, where Tekken is very popular, if the PSN downloads of DR are any indication).

That said, fighters just aren't that lucrative anymore, so I say 2 million lifetime sales.

 

 

Watch commercialism work it's magic. The Tekken franchise might be my favorite franchise, but it hasn't sold incredibly well since Tekken 3..selling over 4.5 M copies. Ever since then it's been around or below 2 million.

And even with that...it's still more popular than SC. SC is looking to be about 500k between 2 different platforms on the first week, which, considering all the promotion for it, isn't really that great.

What Namco has to do is promote Tekken 6 just as much as they did SC4. This is a new gen, and with few T6 arcade machines in the U.S., people will have to buy the game to play it.

The game won't sell as well as Tekken 3 of course, but for a fighter, 2 million is decent because, as I said before, fighters just aren't that lucrative anymore. I do, however, believe that it will sell better than Tekken 5 (it's already doing better in arcades than T5, as well).

 

 

I'll grant you that it can't sell worse than Tekken 5. Tekken 5's sales came sadly because of the fact that Tekken 4 was such a flop and fans were disappointed in the series and defected to VF.

Really? The sales of VF5 suggest otherwise.

But yeah, I blame the [comparatively] low sales of T5 on the suckiness of T4, as well as lackluster promotion. Even if T6 flops for one reason or another in the U.S. (doubtful, imo), considering it's current popularity in Japan, I expect Japanese first-week sales for this game to be the highest since T3.



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TyePhoid_PAL on 07 August 2008

It will sell better than any other 3d beat em ups thats for sure. No smash isnt a beat em up.



Ynwa.

S.T.A.G.E. on 07 August 2008
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
Less than Soul Calibur, so i'd say 2.5 million (at the very most) in its lifetime. To be very truthful because it's Only Sony's installed base buying it i'd say a healthy 1.5 to 2 Million is healthy.

Tekken has always been more popular than Soul Calibur, and even if it's not multiplat, considering SC's less than stellar debut in Japan/Europe/others, I don't think Tekken will have too hard of a time surpassing it (especially in Europe, where Tekken is very popular, if the PSN downloads of DR are any indication).

That said, fighters just aren't that lucrative anymore, so I say 2 million lifetime sales.

 

 

Watch commercialism work it's magic. The Tekken franchise might be my favorite franchise, but it hasn't sold incredibly well since Tekken 3..selling over 4.5 M copies. Ever since then it's been around or below 2 million.

And even with that...it's still more popular than SC. SC is looking to be about 500k between 2 different platforms on the first week, which, considering all the promotion for it, isn't really that great.

What Namco has to do is promote Tekken 6 just as much as they did SC4. This is a new gen, and with few T6 arcade machines in the U.S., people will have to buy the game to play it.

The game won't sell as well as Tekken 3 of course, but for a fighter, 2 million is decent because, as I said before, fighters just aren't that lucrative anymore. I do, however, believe that it will sell better than Tekken 5 (it's already doing better in arcades than T5, as well).

 

 

I'll grant you that it can't sell worse than Tekken 5. Tekken 5's sales came sadly because of the fact that Tekken 4 was such a flop and fans were disappointed in the series and defected to VF.

Really? The sales of VF5 suggest otherwise.

But yeah, I blame the [comparatively] low sales of T5 on the suckiness of T4, as well as lackluster promotion. Even if T6 flops for one reason or another in the U.S. (doubtful, imo), considering it's current popularity in Japan, I expect Japanese first-week sales for this game to be the highest since T3.

 

It cant do worse than 5, but the lack of commercial time that Sony will provide and Namco as well, I don't see it happening. Sony is going to spend alot of money on Commercials for the western audience whom are the bulk of their console sales. They will be promoting KZ2 and they will be promoting Resistance and Socom. War games if you will.



uhohspagettios on 07 August 2008

Heh, the string of quotes is getting a bit ridic lol.

Anyway, yeah, you have a good point...but as I said before, not even speaking about the western audience, I expect Japanese sales to be reasonably high. As for western promotion, maybe the game will be lucky enough to be released at a time when other big releases are absent (it WAS supposed to be released this winter, but it doesn't look like that's going to happen).



S.T.A.G.E. on 07 August 2008

I don't doubt that it will sell the most in Japan. Thats the point. Arcades are still popular over there for a reason. With Street Fighter 4 coming, they are going to make bank off of SF4. That will be the fighting game of the year no doubt, Soul calibur coming in second and Tekken in 3rd. Tekken will always remain number 1 to me however and I will play the hell out of that game. :)



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uhohspagettios on 07 August 2008
S.T.A.G.E. said:

I don't doubt that it will sell the most in Japan. Thats the point. Arcades are still popular over there for a reason. With Street Fighter 4 coming, they are going to make bank off of SF4. That will be the fighting game of the year no doubt, Soul calibur coming in second and Tekken in 3rd. Tekken will always remain number 1 to me however and I will play the hell out of that game. :)

If we're talking arcade profits, I doubt SF will beat Tekken (and SC isn't even ported to arcades anymore, so that doesn't even count), though it'll probably reign supreme for the first few months after it's release (I'm waiting for Arcadia's August chart for the top 10 Japanese arcade games...that's when we'll know). If we're talking about general releases, then it'll be a battle between SF4, SC4, and MK/DC. Tekken 6 wouldn't even be in the running for that, considering that it released nothing this year (the arcade port was released last year, and the console port will be released...well...I really wish I could tell you).

 



S.T.A.G.E. on 07 August 2008
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:

I don't doubt that it will sell the most in Japan. Thats the point. Arcades are still popular over there for a reason. With Street Fighter 4 coming, they are going to make bank off of SF4. That will be the fighting game of the year no doubt, Soul calibur coming in second and Tekken in 3rd. Tekken will always remain number 1 to me however and I will play the hell out of that game. :)

If we're talking arcade profits, I doubt SF will beat Tekken (and SC isn't even ported to arcades anymore, so that doesn't even count), though it'll probably reign supreme for the first few months after it's release (I'm waiting for Arcadia's August chart for the top 10 Japanese arcade games...that's when we'll know). If we're talking about general releases, then it'll be a battle between SF4, SC4, and MK/DC. Tekken 6 wouldn't even be in the running for that, considering that it released nothing this year (the arcade port was released last year, and the console port will be released...well...I really wish I could tell you).

 

 

I hear that SF4 is getting great press from the arcades in Japan. No SF's arcades have been sold to America though. Theres only one Tekken 6 Arcade in America and it's in Texas. Yes, I believe the true war for sales will b e between SF4, SC4 and MK/DC. Personally myself I cannot wait for Blue Blaz (the new guilty gear) on PS3. Battle fantasia is also coming and I cannot wait for that one either. Those games will not be selling very well even though I cannot wait.



uhohspagettios on 07 August 2008
S.T.A.G.E. said:
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:

I don't doubt that it will sell the most in Japan. Thats the point. Arcades are still popular over there for a reason. With Street Fighter 4 coming, they are going to make bank off of SF4. That will be the fighting game of the year no doubt, Soul calibur coming in second and Tekken in 3rd. Tekken will always remain number 1 to me however and I will play the hell out of that game. :)

If we're talking arcade profits, I doubt SF will beat Tekken (and SC isn't even ported to arcades anymore, so that doesn't even count), though it'll probably reign supreme for the first few months after it's release (I'm waiting for Arcadia's August chart for the top 10 Japanese arcade games...that's when we'll know). If we're talking about general releases, then it'll be a battle between SF4, SC4, and MK/DC. Tekken 6 wouldn't even be in the running for that, considering that it released nothing this year (the arcade port was released last year, and the console port will be released...well...I really wish I could tell you).

 

 

I hear that SF4 is getting great press from the arcades in Japan. No SF's arcades have been sold to America though. Theres only one Tekken 6 Arcade in America and it's in Texas. Yes, I believe the true war for sales will b e between SF4, SC4 and MK/DC. Personally myself I cannot wait for Blue Blaz (the new guilty gear) on PS3. Battle fantasia is also coming and I cannot wait for that one either. Those games will not be selling very well even though I cannot wait.

According to SD Tekken, there are actually quite few T6 arcade machines in U.S. (emphasis on few)---two in California, two in Texas, one in Nevada, one in Wisconsin, and one in New York. Still not that many, and I hear the waits for the machines are quite long.

I really do wish the Guilty Gear series was more successful. I've always thought it was highly addicting. But the 2D-fighting genre has suffered even more than the 3D-sector over the past decade. But of course, I don't have a PS3 (though I'll probably be getting one soon, as I really want LittleBigPlanet).



S.T.A.G.E. on 07 August 2008
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:

I don't doubt that it will sell the most in Japan. Thats the point. Arcades are still popular over there for a reason. With Street Fighter 4 coming, they are going to make bank off of SF4. That will be the fighting game of the year no doubt, Soul calibur coming in second and Tekken in 3rd. Tekken will always remain number 1 to me however and I will play the hell out of that game. :)

If we're talking arcade profits, I doubt SF will beat Tekken (and SC isn't even ported to arcades anymore, so that doesn't even count), though it'll probably reign supreme for the first few months after it's release (I'm waiting for Arcadia's August chart for the top 10 Japanese arcade games...that's when we'll know). If we're talking about general releases, then it'll be a battle between SF4, SC4, and MK/DC. Tekken 6 wouldn't even be in the running for that, considering that it released nothing this year (the arcade port was released last year, and the console port will be released...well...I really wish I could tell you).

 

 

I hear that SF4 is getting great press from the arcades in Japan. No SF's arcades have been sold to America though. Theres only one Tekken 6 Arcade in America and it's in Texas. Yes, I believe the true war for sales will b e between SF4, SC4 and MK/DC. Personally myself I cannot wait for Blue Blaz (the new guilty gear) on PS3. Battle fantasia is also coming and I cannot wait for that one either. Those games will not be selling very well even though I cannot wait.

According to SD Tekken, there are actually quite few T6 arcade machines in U.S. (emphasis on few)---two in California, two in Texas, one in Nevada, one in Wisconsin, and one in New York. Still not that many, and I hear the waits for the machines are quite long.

I really do wish the Guilty Gear series was more successful. I've always thought it was highly addicting. But the 2D-fighting genre has suffered even more than the 3D-sector over the past decade. But of course, I don't have a PS3 (though I'll probably be getting one soon, as I really want LittleBigPlanet).

Even though the Blu Blaz game is an exclusive on the PS3, the Guilty Gear action adventure game is coming to the 360. Im buying a PS3 myself and I don't see whats so great about LBP myself. Games like that need a direct storyline. The developers have said to get the best out of the game you have to play with friends. Just great. I only play my fighters with friends and party games. LBP will not be a hit with them. If I play a platformer it better have a storyline and everything, not a full customization game.

 



uhohspagettios on 07 August 2008
S.T.A.G.E. said:
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
uhohspagettios said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:

I don't doubt that it will sell the most in Japan. Thats the point. Arcades are still popular over there for a reason. With Street Fighter 4 coming, they are going to make bank off of SF4. That will be the fighting game of the year no doubt, Soul calibur coming in second and Tekken in 3rd. Tekken will always remain number 1 to me however and I will play the hell out of that game. :)

If we're talking arcade profits, I doubt SF will beat Tekken (and SC isn't even ported to arcades anymore, so that doesn't even count), though it'll probably reign supreme for the first few months after it's release (I'm waiting for Arcadia's August chart for the top 10 Japanese arcade games...that's when we'll know). If we're talking about general releases, then it'll be a battle between SF4, SC4, and MK/DC. Tekken 6 wouldn't even be in the running for that, considering that it released nothing this year (the arcade port was released last year, and the console port will be released...well...I really wish I could tell you).

 

 

I hear that SF4 is getting great press from the arcades in Japan. No SF's arcades have been sold to America though. Theres only one Tekken 6 Arcade in America and it's in Texas. Yes, I believe the true war for sales will b e between SF4, SC4 and MK/DC. Personally myself I cannot wait for Blue Blaz (the new guilty gear) on PS3. Battle fantasia is also coming and I cannot wait for that one either. Those games will not be selling very well even though I cannot wait.

According to SD Tekken, there are actually quite few T6 arcade machines in U.S. (emphasis on few)---two in California, two in Texas, one in Nevada, one in Wisconsin, and one in New York. Still not that many, and I hear the waits for the machines are quite long.

I really do wish the Guilty Gear series was more successful. I've always thought it was highly addicting. But the 2D-fighting genre has suffered even more than the 3D-sector over the past decade. But of course, I don't have a PS3 (though I'll probably be getting one soon, as I really want LittleBigPlanet).

Even though the Blu Blaz game is an exclusive on the PS3, the Guilty Gear action adventure game is coming to the 360. Im buying a PS3 myself and I don't see whats so great about LBP myself. Games like that need a direct storyline. The developers have said to get the best out of the game you have to play with friends. Just great. I only play my fighters with friends and party games. LBP will not be a hit with them. If I play a platformer it better have a storyline and everything, not a full customization game.

 

Well, I love creating stuff, and I'm a sucker for cute things, so LBP is a must buy for me (the only other PS platformer that I've ever really liked was Crash Bandicoot, and, quite honestly, I couldn't even tell you the story to that game). Never underestimate the power of cute---if Sony is smart, they'll release LBP in a bundle similar to that of MGS4. I guarantee you that moms everywhere will give it one look and decide that's it's a great present for their kid(s).

And I'm assuming the game will have some sort of online multiplayer option. That doesn't concern me, though, as I'm not a big online gamer.