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Forums - Website Topics - Who won the Feb 4 Japan Chart prediction league?

Can someone do the math and assess the accuracy of the guesses? Or am I going to have to do it... If some people prove to be very accurate over a large period of time I think this website should give their assessments some added weight when updating the website...



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

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Well, i wrote small programm to calculate overall results. It seems to be working right, however there may be some mistakes in final results due to typo cause im not a robot. Standings after round one mausy's accuracy = 85,757034"; Carlosham's accuracy = 84,642075"; WildArms's accuracy = 84,174255"; Heidir's accuracy = 83,005981"; amiiam's accuracy = 81,058487"; Square07's accuracy = 80,387054"; Alvar's accuracy = 78,283844"; Jakaiwa's accuracy = 78,231834"; Komodo's accuracy = 77,203476"; Happy Squirriel's accuracy = 76,441528"; pinata's accuracy = 76,413795"; renemesis's accuracy = 76,093338"; fabinou's accuracy = 75,791054"; Xeno2887's accuracy = 74,148003"; gardam's accuracy = 74,10466"; dtsoc's accuracy = 73,589417"; mrstickball's accuracy = 73,21843"; rriu's accuracy = 72,920731"; linkgwada's accuracy = 72,281448"; kuraobi's accuracy = 72,232216"; Jamix012's accuracy = 71,077339"; BTerran's accuracy = 70,362488"; CrashSpyro123's accuracy = 69,390778"; maru79's accuracy = 69,338585"; Kai Master's accuracy = 69,120468"; du_danton's accuracy = 67,00795"; Anto's accuracy = 64,403503"; thibje's accuracy = 63,921005"; zukaus's accuracy = 63,361412"; Muchs's accuracy = 63,354877"; remai.nagasai's accuracy = 62,228004"; andreps2's accuracy = 59,1325"; ftth75's accuracy = 55,275383"; Zucas's accuracy = 54,60611"; roadkillers's accuracy = 54,426968"; Valido's accuracy = 54,036285"; JaguarCRO's accuracy = 53,042839"; narj's accuracy = 46,409031"; kingoffheg's accuracy = 39,710575"; boychat's accuracy = 28,515892"; gt_r34's accuracy = 0"; carlosmp's accuracy = 0"; dark_saiyaman's accuracy = 0";



Much obliged. Mind if I round those off for you? Top 10: 1. Mausy - 85.76 2. Carlosham - 84.64 3. WildArm - 84.17 4. Heidr - 83.01 5. Aniiam - 81.06 6. Square07 - 80.38 7. Alvar - 78.28 8. Jakaiwa - 78.23 9. Komodo - 77.20 10. Happy Squirrel - 76.44



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

83%? Not bad.



And what about round 2 ? We are going to miss 4-11 week and continue since 12-19 ?



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Haha definetly not me haha. Wooh my predictions were off. But still over the 50% marker so I'm happy about that.



I have a question regarding the predicitons on the first page. The percentages seem to be a bit weird... here... I will give an exampel from my latest Japanese prediction-results. The first number is my prediction, the second is the real number and the third is the percentage. Lets Make A J-League Pro Soccer Club 5 (PS2) 50,000 108,250 46.19% ok, so we can probably all agree that that is 46.19% accuracy. But what about this one? Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (PS2) 90,000 49,750 19.10% How in any way shape or form is that 19.10% accuracy? :)



ok, that pretty much means that if you over-predict by 2x you get 0% accuracy. I guess according to the calculations that is equal to saying the sells are at 0 when under-predicting. Though it is alot more ridiculous to say something is gonna sell 0 copies :) Guess I will adapt and lower the numbers on everything a bit for next week :) Edit: And it does mean that unfortunately my cooking mama prediction will be 0% :p



what a shame only 46 percent lol.