Well, you said you agreed with it in its entirety; pick a definition, and I'll see if we can make a bet that suits you. I refuse to only count 'quality/main' titles, because quality is too subjective and 'main' means that one could easily discount a game like Spyborgs, which a Capcom representative has said is one of the two biggest games that Capcom USA is making.

The only fair metric is number of games announced; e3 isn't exactly known for being a huge announcement platform for shovelware, so it's not like Conspiracy Entertainment (or whoever) will be announcing games there.

If you don't think that the PS3/360 will get more games than the Wii, just say so. If you do, put your (metaphorical) money where your mouth is.

Personally, I think that in terms of overall games, it will be Wii by a landslide, and in terms of 'major franchises', i expect Wii to be at most 3 announced titles behind the combined PS3/360. Would you be willing to do a double bet? Avatar if Wii is within 3 'major franchises' announcements, sig for 'total games'?

Two things are interesting about this generation.

1: As of right now the wii is the leading console in the market thats got the least amount of benefit from being the leading console. Thats for a number of reasons that aren't worth going into, but it will change.

2: The other consoles in the market are for the first time getting just as good announcements as the leading console. Its not a one horse race anymore.

What does this all mean? The games industry is growing and it can effectively accommodate several consoles. This is a good thing.

 Wow... that's got to be the most depressing outlook on life I've ever seen... I'ma cry now...

My point of view:

I understand Flame's thought process, but there's a fundamental flaw: As has already been stated, some of the big publishers are currently putting out crap on the Wii.  However, that looks to be changing very soon, and very rapidly.  The Wii is finally getting its' share of big-name exclusives and quality multiplats from top-tier developers, like Namco, Tecmo, LucasArts, Capcom, and Square.  I won't list them for the umpteenth time, but they vary quite widely in genre--hell, even with the limited list we have now (which will definitely be expanded at E3), we have:

-shooters

-RPGs

-more sports games than last year

-stealth games

-sword-fighting games (with lightsabers, no less!XD)

-mature (read: gorey) action brawlers

-horror games

-Tons of others that defy classification, such as De Blob and World of Goo.

  I didn't give that list just to, yet again, show how the third-party support is growing exponentially (which it is).  Rather, I did it to point out that, once the Wii's library starts to get more diversified, these developers that need the extra cash to fund their moneysinking big-budget HD games will have to work for it.

  Once there's a decent selection of games from all genres (which there will be soon), just putting out "X-theme Party!" won't cut it.  Sure, there will always be a market for this type of game, like there always has been, but by and large, third-parties will soon have too much competition on the Wii to be able to simply crap out an 'exclusive' mini-game compilation with early-PS2 graphics.

  Couple that with the fact that, as I said before, and as many have been apt to point out, HD dev costs are getting too high not to be supplemented somehow, and with the Wii being an easy source for said supplementing, and third-parties will soon be forced to up their game on Wii.  Which, at the very minimum, means that the Wii will get just as many big exclusives as the other consoles.

  In one year, the story will be completely different than it is now.

Well third party's could start off with cheap cash ins and with the profits from them maybe move on to more ambitious projects.

I would consider this bet but there is one major flaw.  Say SE announces that the FF team will be working on FF14 when they are done (duh) and it will be coming to the Wii, that is great and all but it won't be out for a hell of a long time.

I agreed with him that the Wii isn't getting the majority of third party releases, especialy if the word quality is used, which can be judged by metacritic. How about you just quote me in your sig if I'm wrong? I don't care to change your avatar or sig or whatever. I said quality titles don't make for a good bet, so we agree there. Btw, not every publisher will even be at E3. Activision and Lucas Arts for 2. I don't know why you think shovelware isn't shown off at E3, though. The booths are huge and lots of games are shown. Regardless, feel free to quote me as saying I don't think the Wii will have more third party games announced for it than the other 2 systems.

LucasArts will be at E3.

1. If all you looked at was game rankings, the PS2 would show to be the worst console ever.

2. I'm well aware that Halo is owned by MS. I'm talking about a purely hypothetical situation.

3. Some, perhaps, but Manhunt 2 was a terrible game. The controls were just plain awful which made the game clunky and nearly unplayable. Point is, I'm not about to give a game a free pass just because it's on a console I prefer.

I love my Wii, but the fact that it suffers from a serious lack of great games so far is pretty clear.

A glance at PS2 ratings on metacritic reveals 63 titles with score between 90-100 and another 255 titles between 80 and 90. 

The PS2 has been around for roughly 7.5 years, so that means PS2 has had an average of:

8.4 titles each year that scored above 90 and

34 titles each year that scored between 80 and 90.

The Wii in comparison over the past 1.5 years has had 5 titles that scored above 90 and another 20 titles between 80 and 90.  To make it comparable to PS2 library quality, it needs to have had about 13 and 51 titles in these score ranges.  Even if you compare the early releases only, by 2001, PS2 had 14 titles above 90 and 45 titles between 80 and 90.  The Wii has far to go to catch up.

The PS2 got a lot of shovelware, but it also got a lot of great games.  The Wii seems to be getting the shovelware but not the great games.  I hope this changes and fast.

More developers may drop out of E3 before the event actually comes around...