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Forums - Sales - My Prediction: PS3 to hit 15 million sold before Xbox 360 hits 20 million

TheBigFatJ on 30 May 2008

This thread needs more permaban bets.



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Mummelmann on 30 May 2008

Well, could be hard, it depends on alot of things, really. I can see it happening in a best case scenario, and do bear in mind that "current trends" might not apply in the summer months, which are by experience and default the slowest hw months of the entire year.



solojohlo on 30 May 2008
johnsobas said:
unless we get past adjustments that alter current trends there is absolutely no way this happens. PS3 has 3.01 million to go, 360 has 1.16 million to go. Basically PS3 will have to sell 2.5x what the 360 sells to get that, good luck with that prediction.

More like 2.01 million more PS3's

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DMeisterJ on 30 May 2008

I would say no, but since the biggest game of the generation is coming out in thirteen days, and it's exclusive to the PS3, I'll say yes.

PS3 will reach 15 mil by the middle of August, with 360 hitting 20 mil shortly thereafter (maybe the same week, Madden launches August 12).



FJ-Warez on 30 May 2008

Is hard to know, the PS3 has a good game, but is a huge system seller??? I don´t think so...



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TheBigFatJ on 30 May 2008
DMeisterJ said:
I would say no, but since the biggest game of the generation is coming out in thirteen days, and it's exclusive to the PS3, I'll say yes.

This is a good point. Consider it a changing of the guard: GTA used to double the sales of MGS easily when they were both Playstation exclusives. Back when MGS 2 and 3 came out, it wasn't even close to the biggest game of the generation.  Now that GTA is multiplatform, expect MGS to outsell it drastically. And, of course, SMG / Halo 3 / MK Wii will never match the sales of MGS 4.

There's no arguing that MGS 4 will not be the biggest game this generation. Until now, Resistence held that title.



eliasg on 30 May 2008

Biggest game of this generation is Halo 3 and everybody knows that...



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SWA_JM_Obi-Wan on 30 May 2008
johnsobas said:
unless we get past adjustments that alter current trends there is absolutely no way this happens. PS3 has 3.01 million to go, 360 has 1.16 million to go. Basically PS3 will have to sell 2.5x what the 360 sells to get that, good luck with that prediction.

Check your math, the PS3 needs 2.01 not 3.01 to reach 15 MIL. As faras the OP's thoughts go. It is possible, but I am not sure if it is likely.

johnsobas on 30 May 2008
SWA_JM_Obi-Wan said:
johnsobas said:
unless we get past adjustments that alter current trends there is absolutely no way this happens. PS3 has 3.01 million to go, 360 has 1.16 million to go. Basically PS3 will have to sell 2.5x what the 360 sells to get that, good luck with that prediction.

 

Check your math, the PS3 needs 2.01 not 3.01 to reach 15 MIL. As faras the OP's thoughts go. It is possible, but I am not sure if it is likely.

 yea that certainly makes things more realistic, although i still don't think it's as likely as not happening.  We've seen this before, I just don't see 1 game making that big of a difference.  



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SWA_JM_Obi-Wan on 30 May 2008

I completely agree with you, but there is one possibility. Summer is usually slow for the industry so if Sony can get a boost during a slowdown period it does have a slight chance.