Theory: XBOX failure in Japan is Hurting PS3
Reasoning:
In North America, and Europe the HD consoles have more than 50% market share. It is a no-brainer to go mulit platform. This helps the late comer - the PS3 - quite a bit because it gets top games like COD4 that it's smaller user base wouldn't justify without on it's own. This bascially splits the market into two pieces Wii and HD. We all know that. There are HD games, and there are Wii games.
But in Japan, XBOX360 is hopeless. At 1500/week it will take 5 years to sell 1 Million. Ouch. THis means in japan there is really only one console target: the Wii. There aren't enough HD consoles to justify the dev costs for HD games. The wii is at 6.1M. PS3 is 2.1M. Xbox is 700k. If Xbox was around 3M (where it would be if it sold as well in japan it has in NA and Others) the HD consoles would have 5.1M - roughly splitting the market with the Wii.
So all of us HD fans need to worry about Microsoft's failure in Japan as it hurts our chances of getting good Japanese games for ANY HD platform!
Agree?
Trying to convince me the Wii is a real adult game machine 'if you play it right' is like trying to convince me Tofu tastes great 'if you just cook it right'