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Forums - Sales - Now Do You Think Nintendo Will Reach 50% Market?

Grampy on 22 May 2008

It just gained .3% in one "slow" week and just a few weeks after GTA IV and one week before Wii Fit; and a week that is generally described as Wii's being held back for the launch.

The results or non-results of GTA IV in console sales would indicate that both HD machines are near market saturation at current prices and no immediate price cut is anticipated.

I think that the Wii could reach 50% just running on the long Wii Fit legs.



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LetsAllMakeBelieve on 22 May 2008

easily, if it keeps going as is, it may even hit 55%.

EOG Predictions:
Wii - 140m or 55%
PS3 - 80m or 26%
360 - 40m or 19%



Venji on 22 May 2008

With the increased production (2.4million per month) I expect it to reach 50% by the end of the year.



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Grey Acumen on 22 May 2008

i just want to point out my sig to people. While I may not be the next John Lucas, I may very well have the earliest most accurate prediction for the Wii's 50% mark



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My Prediction: Wii will be achieve 48% market share by the end of 2008, and will achieve 50% by the end of june of 09. Prediction Failed.

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montrealsoon on 22 May 2008
Grampy said:
It just gained .3% in one "slow" week and just a few weeks after GTA IV and one week before Wii Fit; and a week that is generally described as Wii's being held back for the launch.

The results or non-results of GTA IV in console sales would indicate that both HD machines are near market saturation at current prices and no immediate price cut is anticipated.

I think that the Wii could reach 50% just running on the long Wii Fit legs.

 i think the .3 is more due to figure corrections than just the past weeks sales.

could be wroung though... 



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Falcon095 on 22 May 2008

Ther Wii's market share is just growing and growing, and i don't see that stoped..



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ilovetogame on 22 May 2008

i think nitendo upping its production to 2.4 will give wii 50% marketshare by the end of this year. and once it hits that for a few weeks in a row i don't think it'll ever dip under again. i'd say lifetime could be something like this:

wii: 110 mil (58.5%)
ps3: 43 mil (22.8%)
360: 35 mil (18.6%)

although i could see the wii getting up to 120 million and taking over 60% marketplace.



end of '08 predictions: wii - 43 million,  360 - 25 million, ps3 - 20 million

 

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ecurbj on 22 May 2008

The Wii will continue to dominate now that I own a Wii :P

But on topic, I see the Wii to dominate and never lose market share just for the simple fact. Wii is a popular console.

The Wii is the PS2 of this generation and no one will stop its momentum :D



GlingGling on 22 May 2008
montrealsoon said:
Grampy said:
It just gained .3% in one "slow" week and just a few weeks after GTA IV and one week before Wii Fit; and a week that is generally described as Wii's being held back for the launch.

The results or non-results of GTA IV in console sales would indicate that both HD machines are near market saturation at current prices and no immediate price cut is anticipated.

I think that the Wii could reach 50% just running on the long Wii Fit legs.

i think the .3 is more due to figure corrections than just the past weeks sales.

could be wroung though...


 I don't think you are wrong. I'm pretty sure the Wii only gained .1% in the original numbers for their 700k week. I looked at the charts, I can't really figure out what they changed. Maybe someone official can let us know.



stephen700 on 22 May 2008

No it's probably going to stay around 45% - The X360 and PS3 will get price cutts, the PS3 game library is getting several more notable games this year + first big year for blu-ray marketing on PS3.

Over xmas the consoles all get a massive sales boost Wii, X360 and PS3 all BUT the numbers tend to even out more - probably due to SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS - If nintendo can suddenly find a way to double production (i doubt it ) they may prove me wrong.



PS3 number 1 fan