Mifely said:
The idea of "50% market share" by comparing raw sales is pretty messed up. Why is it messed up? Thats how market share is always measured. Not even Sony or Microsoft have ever challenged the method. They sometimes dispute the data (without noticable success) and sometimes the conclsions drawn, mainly because they are unpleasant. The Wii, being the cheapest console of this generation and a direct successor/replacement of the GameCube The Wii, with a revolutionary control system is not a replacement for the GameCube which used conventional controls. It shares backwards compatability. It is not actually cheaper, at many major distributers, (Amazon, GameStop) the cost of the required Wii bundle meets or exceeds the price of the HD consoles which are sold unbundled. Xbox 360s are in plentiful supply used at an average price $50 below the Wii's list price. People apparently buy the Wii because they want the Wii not because of price , probably co-exists in a colossal number of instances with a 360, a PS3, or both.
NOT TRUE less than 3% (NPD) Given a choice, users will probably choose the 360 or PS3 as their platform of choice for cross-platform releases (for obvious reasons). Applies to a whooping 3% and NOT SUPPORTED BY SALES FIGURES - "OBVIOUS REASONS" IS AN OPINION ALSO NOT SUPPORTED BY SALES FIGURES "Market share", in the long-run, is really about software, not hardware. Comparing the three current-gen consoles as if most users only owned one exclusively is pretty much the definition of "bad science", "Market share", of consoles is not about software, it is about the market shares of consoles Comparing the three current-gen consoles as if most users only owned one exclusively IS REQUIRED BY THE FACTS 97% (see NPD above) especially at this relatively early stage. 18 months (longer for the X360) is not that damn early. If you understood statistics you would realize that the sample size is plenty big to allow for predictions especially in this case where both numbers and trends are fairly obvious. Markets have a great deal of inertia and trends do not reverse suddenly The only way you could claim one console has definate strangehold on marketshare, for a given console generation (lets not include the PS2, please) , would be to take that consoles #s and subtract the sum of its competition first -- this would still put the Wii in the negatives at this moment. That might at least provide a decent starting basis. This is just bizarre, so far in left field I don't even know how to respond. Market share as a percentage is actually a pretty straight forward calculation. If 10 consoles are sold and 5 are Wii, 3 are X360 and 2 are PS3 then the marker shares are 50%, 30%, 20% end of fricking story The fact that the 360 and PS3 are so superior to the Wii, technologically, That the 360 and PS3 have higher resolution graphics is a FACT. Whether they are technologically superior is an OPINION. The innovation of motion controls in many peoples mind is more important technologically than mere pixel count goes a long way to favor users spending $60 on the HD version of a cross-platform game, as opposed to the "practically last-gen" Wii Another OPINION and a rather biased one at that version at $50, as well. Essentially, any household which owns a Wii, and also a PS3 or 360, All 3% of them, I think it's time to just drop this complete nonsense about the huge numbers of multiconsole homes. They don't exist making this arguement fairly silly will see the Wii's market penetration in that household trumped for cross-platform releases. Much of the Wii's current number advantage over the HD consoles is due to its price, Another OPINION not supported by the small and transient effect of price cuts, the real world street pricing where the premium (bundle or pricing as on Ebay) makes the Wii more expensive, the the large available number of used X360s. Believe it or not, and apparently you don't, opinion polls have shown that most Wii owners bought it by choice. >70% are adult males who can afford whatever they g-damn want. The puchasers of the HD consoles are actually demographically younger and presumably have less disposable income and a solid round of 1st party releases by Nintendo early on. Imagining that people will choose Wii software over 360 or PS3 software of higher caliber is pretty presumptuous. No it's actually called reality and is supported by software sales, Not that software sales have a damn thing to do with console market share except in your mind In that sense, the Wii can never truly "beat" its competition. Actually it already has, Sorry to be the one to break it to you. Not only does it have an insurmountable lead but the fact that it outsold both HD consoles combined DURING the launch of their biggest AAA game was game, set and match. The NPD figues next month and the month after including Wii Fit will be the formal burial Its not a good enough console to cover the more fervent gamers decently. Not completely true, some fervent gamers prefer it, but mostly irrelevant. The population of "hardcore gamers" is just not large enough to overcome the Wii. That's why the HD consoles, which I conceede are more popular in that gamer population are showing clear signs of market saturation at their current levels The Wii can *be* beaten, Another OPINION without factual support but if you do think of a way please send it to either Sony or Microsoft because they need it bad however. Although that does seem to look less and less likely, The one completely correct statement in this whole thing assuming that it gets some decent non-casual titles here and there. A better measure of "market share" might be "total number of new software titles sold each week" If you use the top 20 for each console, for this week (in America), as a measuring stick: Talk about cherry picking. Oh yes, lets compare just the top twenty this week,IN THE USA with names starting with G, sold by BestBuy counting only Tuesday Weds. and Thursday, what the hell is this? Not only is that a statistically absurd way to measure market share of consoles but you just happened to pick a week with GTA IV and BEFORE Wii Fit, GIVE ME A F**KING BREAK | 
