The biggest mover for last weeks results was
Oyvoyvoyv
who managed to move up 15, 9, and 10 in Winnings Ratio, Winnings, and Accuracy respectively.
| nordlead said: good, more competition Just to let you know how you stand. If we only count those in 3 rounds your standings are as follows Winnings Ratio - 28 Just by entering 2 more rounds without changing your other stats you would move up between 10-20 spots in each category. |
Okay. Hopefully I do much better in future rounds, I've learned a lot from the first couple. I'll see if my strats work out...
Actually, I'm still unsure of exactly how winnings works, since dividing by avg accuracy sounds iffy (it's 0% sometimes).
| c0rd said: Okay. Hopefully I do much better in future rounds, I've learned a lot from the first couple. I'll see if my strats work out... Actually, I'm still unsure of exactly how winnings works, since dividing by avg accuracy sounds iffy (it's 0% sometimes). |
I don't know exactly how it works either, but I earn a lot 
Accuracy is the hardest to get to the top with, as you have to be accurate all around the board.
Winnings Ratio is slightly easier, as you just need to know where you are more accurate than others. However, sometimes you are wrong and it really hurts your payout.
Winnings is the easiest, as you can throw tons of cash at the games like me and continue to make more than anyone else. The only problem with that strategy, is your Winnings Ratio is likely to take a hit unless you do very good everywhere. Also, you have to have enough $ that you don't run out before you get paid again.
nordlead said:
I don't know exactly how it works either, but I earn a lot Accuracy is the hardest to get to the top with, as you have to be accurate all around the board. Winnings Ratio is slightly easier, as you just need to know where you are more accurate than others. However, sometimes you are wrong and it really hurts your payout. Winnings is the easiest, as you can throw tons of cash at the games like me and continue to make more than anyone else. The only problem with that strategy, is your Winnings Ratio is likely to take a hit unless you do very good everywhere. Also, you have to have enough $ that you don't run out before you get paid again. |
I figured out that you win more percentage of your bet the closer you are in accuracy to 100% than the average bets, but I don't know the exact equation. It'd help in my predictions if I knew it, though
| zexen_lowe said: I figured out that you win more percentage of your bet the closer you are in accuracy to 100% than the average bets, but I don't know the exact equation. It'd help in my predictions if I knew it, though
|
supposedly, this is the payout scheme, but it doesn't say what happens when the overall average is 0%
| Winnings are determined by your prediction accuracy. Prediction accuracy for a each prediction is calculated as the difference between your prediction and actual figure / actual figure. The prediction accuracy for each prediction is divided by the average accuracy across all users for that prediction and then this ratio is multiplied by your bet on that prediction. This is totalled up over the 15 predictions. An example is the best way to illustrate. Example: You predict a game will sell 175,000 copies for the week and the game actually sells 200,000. So, we take the difference between your prediction and the actual sales and divide it by the actual sales 25,000 / 200,000. The result, 0.125, represents the percentage your prediction was off from the actual (12.5% off). Subtracting this number from 1 (one represents being wholly accurate) tells us how close or accurate your prediction is to the actual: 1 - 0.125 = 0.875 or 87.5% accurate. Note that if your prediction is off by more than the actual amount (i.e., off by more than 100%), your accuracy will be 0% representing the fact that you were simply not accurate in your prediction (e.g., you predict 100,000 and the actual is 30,000). Your accuracy is then divided by the average accuracy for that prediction, in this case say 50% (100,000 as the average prediction) to give (87.5/50) then multiplied by your original bet. So if you bet vg$10 on this prediction, you would win 10 x (87.5/50) = vg$17.50 (a net profit of vg$7.50 against the original bet). This is repeated across all your bets and totalled up. |
ah? first place huh? take that you very rich man
"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007
Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions
Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.
| MANUELF said: @kirby007 I hate you |
Why do you hate me? I didn't do anything. You were the one who made some bad predictions.
You should hate yourself 
"I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007
Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions
Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.
| MANUELF said: My winnings ratio is almost the same, you did better, that´s why |
lol, he didn't participate in the round, hence why he said he didn't do anything.
I have the same problem with quigontcb, in both Accuracy and Winnings Ratio. He entered 5 rounds, but then stopped because we weren't getting paid. Now he is away at training and doesn't have time.
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