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Forums - Sony - Will MGS4 numbers be > or < than GTA4 for PS3?

HappySqurriel said:
saprano1 said:
why do you ps3 haters keep bringing up the past? msg4 is a defferent beast, its going to seell ALOT of software and hardware in june. this is last mgs, EVERYBODY want to play this( bisides the ps3 haters) and this bundle WILL OUTSELL the wii the week of june 21st. do you know how many people want and are happy the 80gig is back? i bet 200 thousand or more for america and over seas in the first week. this is the game everybodys beens waiting for, it can easily sell 1 million in a week in america and obviously more in europe and the others. ALOT of wii and 360 fans are gonna eat major crow after the week of june 21st.................SOMEBODY QUOTE THIS POST..............get ready to be shocked

The best way to predict the future is to understand the past ...

The Metal Gear Solid and the Splinter Cell series have both demonstrated that there are limits to the number of people that want these spy/stealth based action games; in both cases the sales tend to plateau at 4 to 5 million units across all platforms. What this tells me is there is a maximum potential for a game like Metal Gear Solid 4 which falls far short of a lot of people's predictions.


Only the first Splinter Cell sold over a few million, and it was still a million less than MGS 1 and MGS 2. Both of those games sold 6 million. That's higher than your estimated plateau. Anyway, the games are completely different experiences. The audience for Splinter Cell is far lower than MGS. The past alone doesn't always provide the best guess of the future. Things change.



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im sure that it will not break the one million first week but 700k800k in Na;and there is chance to hits one million in others



The bundle in US and Japan will definitely be sold out prior to release. The same may be true for Europe but not certain due to the awfulness of the bundle....
Among existing PS3 owners I have to say that it will definitely have similar interest to GTA4, but it may have a chance of outselling it 1st week but not lifetime...

Also comparing prior MGSs to this you should at least compare it to MGS1/2 since MGS3 was definitely the least interesting in terms of story (its a prequesl and you don't even get to play Snake).

I'm predicting 2m+ 1st week and around 400k h/w.... Definitely the best non launch, non holiday week for the PS3...



PSN ID: T_Gears

End of 2009 ltd sales:

Wii = 67-68m

X360 = 38-39m

PS3 = 34-35m

Prediction: The PS3 will surpass the 360 on weekly sales after it drops to $299 on all regular weeks (no big releases).

taxman said:
The bundle in US and Japan will definitely be sold out prior to release. The same may be true for Europe but not certain due to the awfulness of the bundle....
Among existing PS3 owners I have to say that it will definitely have similar interest to GTA4, but it may have a chance of outselling it 1st week but not lifetime...

Also comparing prior MGSs to this you should at least compare it to MGS1/2 since MGS3 was definitely the least interesting in terms of story (its a prequesl and you don't even get to play Snake).

I'm predicting 2m+ 1st week and around 400k h/w.... Definitely the best non launch, non holiday week for the PS3...

You seriously believe in Japan they will sell 100k bundles on the week this game releases? You do follow weekly PS3 sales in Japan recently?